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The 3 Most Futuristic Talks at IAC 2015

Justin Atchison’s name started appearing in these pages all the way back in 2007 when, in a post called Deep Space Propulsion via Magnetic Fields, I described his work at Cornell on micro-satellites the size of a single wafer of silicon. Working with Mason Peck, Justin did his graduate work on chip-scale spacecraft dynamics, solar sails and propulsion via the Lorentz force, ideas I’ve tracked ever since. He’s now an aerospace engineer at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, where he focuses on trajectory design and orbit determination for Earth and interplanetary spacecraft. As a 2015 NIAC fellow he is researching technologies that enable asteroid gravimetry during spacecraft flybys. In the entry that follows, Justin reports on his trip to Jerusalem for this fall’s International Astronautical Congress.

by Justin A. Atchison

Atchison_IAC

Greetings. I’m Justin Atchison, an aerospace engineer at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory. I’m proud to have previously had my graduate research included on Centauri Dreams (1,2, and 3). Now, I’m guest-writing an article about the three most futuristic talks I saw at the International Astronautical Congress in Jerusalem this past October. I was able to attend the conference thanks to a travel fellowship through the Future Space Leaders Foundation (FSLF). I’d strongly encourage any student or young-professional (under 35) to apply for this grant next year. It’s a fantastic opportunity to attend this premier conference and interact with a variety of international leaders and thinkers in the aerospace field. FSLF also hosts the Future Space Event on Capitol Hill each summer, which offers engagement with US Congress and aerospace executives on the latest and most relevant space-related subjects.

Image: Justin in the IAC-2015 exhibition hall trying on a protective harness that minimizes radiation exposure to the pelvis bone, which is particularly sensitive to radiation due to its high bone marrow production.

So with that note of thanks and recommendation, I give you “The 3 Most Futuristic Talks at IAC 2015.”

1. An Approach for Terraforming Titan

Abbishek G., D. Kothia, R.A. Kulkarni, S. Chopra, and U. Guven, “Space Settlement on Saturn’s Moon: Titan,” International Astronautical Congress, Jerusalem, Israel, IAC-15-D4.1.5, 2015.

University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, India

The authors of this paper explore options for terraforming Titan in the distant future. Specifically, this means liberating oxygen and increasing the surface temperature.
In addition to having water-ice, Titan is a candidate for human settlement for a few compelling reasons:

  1. Abundant Water-Ice – Water is obviously critical for life and is a source of oxygen.
  2. Solar Wind Shielding – Saturn’s magnetosphere “contains” Titan for 95% of its orbit period and is relatively stable.
  3. Earth-like Geology – Observations of Titan show a relatively young, Earth-like surface with rivers, wind-generated dunes, and tectonic-induced mountains.
  4. Native Atmosphere – Titan’s atmosphere is nitrogen rich (95%) and shows strata similar to Earth (troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, and thermosphere). The atmospheric pressure on the surface is only 60% higher than that on Earth.

However, Titan presents challenges for habitation, namely a lack of breathable oxygen and the presence of extremely cold surface temperatures (90K). The authors suggest that the solution to these two challenges is a nuclear fission plant that can dissociate oxygen from water and produce greenhouse gases.

Generating Oxygen – The main idea is to use beta or gamma radiation to set up a radiolysis process that converts hydrogen and oxygen atoms into usable constituents, including O2. This requires an artificial radiation source and a means of liberating the hydrogen and oxygen atoms from the native cold ice. They suggest a nuclear fission plant as the source of the radiation, and a duoplasmatron as the means of liberating and exciting the H and O atoms. The duoplasmatron would accelerate a beam of argon ions, which would be aimed at the water-ice. The collisions cause sputtering, where the argon ions literally knock O and H atoms out of the ice. These atoms are then collected and radiated to generate usable O2.

Heating Up the Atmosphere – At about 9.5 AU from the Sun, Titan receives only ~1% as much solar energy as Earth. The goal for raising the temperature on Titan is to capture and retain that limited energy. The authors consider the generation of greenhouse gases as the solution. There are two options they suggest:

  1. If lightning is present on Titan, then the oxygen generated by the nuclear reactor can energetically react with the already-present nitrogen to produce nitrogen oxides, namely NO, NO2, N2O, and N2O2. Once these nitrogen oxides are able to raise the surface temperature by roughly 20 K, Titan’s methane lakes will begin to boil off, releasing gaseous methane as an additional greenhouse gas, and potentially raising the surface temperature to a habitable value.
  2. If lightning isn’t present, or if its generation of nitrogen oxides is too inefficient, one could boil the methane lakes directly using the previously mentioned nuclear reactor. In this setup, the reactor is simply increasing the amount of vapor in the already-present methane cycle (vaporization and condensation of methane). To cause the lakes to naturally vaporize, one needs to generate sufficient vapor to affect the global climate and raise the surface temperature by 20 K.

The authors don’t estimate the total time required for terraforming, the size of the nuclear plant required to start the process, or the maximum theoretical surface temperature achievable, but they nonetheless posit a potential path forward for planetary habitation…and that’s a meaningful contribution.

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2. Eternal Memory

Guzman M., A. M. Hein, and C. Welch, “Eternal Memory: Long-Duration Storage Concepts for Space” International Astronautical Congress, Jerusalem, Israel, IAC-15-D4.1.3, 2015.

International Space University and Initiative for Interstellar Studies, France

How can present day humanity leave a message for distant future civilizations (human or alien)? This question first became an option with Carl Sagan’s famous Voyager Golden Record. The authors of this review paper evaluate the requirements and near term options available to store and interpret data for millions to billions of years in space. That’s a long enough timescale that you have to start to consider the lifetime of the sun (5 billion years) and the merging of the Milky Way and Andromeda galaxies (long term dynamics may destabilize orbits in the solar system). There are a variety of current efforts, most of which are crowd-funded, including: The Helena Project, Lunar Mission Project, Time Capsule to Mars, KEO, The Rosetta Project, The Human Document Project, One Earth Message, and Moonspike.

The data storage mechanism has to survive radiation, micrometeoroids, extreme temperatures, vacuum, solar wind, and geologic processes (if landed on a planet or moon). In terms of locating the data, the authors consider just about every option: Earth orbit, the Moon, the planets, planetary moons, Lagrange points, asteroids and comets, escape trajectories, and even orbiting an M-star. The Moon appears to be a good candidate because it remains near enough to Earth for future civilizations to discover, yet distant enough to avoid too common access (it can’t be too accessible or it might be easily destroyed by malicious or careless humans). One of the proposed implementations is to bury data at the lunar north pole, where regolith can be a shield against micrometeoroid impacts.

There are a variety of near-term technologies available for this challenge, including three approaches that could likely survive the requisite millions to billions of years:

  1. Silica Glass Etching – “Silica is an attractive material for eternal memory concepts because it is stable against temperature, stable against chemicals, has established microfabrication methods, and has a high Young’s modulus and Knoop hardness.” In this implementation, femtosecond lasers are used to etch the glass and achieve CD-ROM like data densities. A laboratory test exposed a sample wafer to 1000°C heat for two hours with no damage.
  2. Tungsten Embedded in Silicon Nitride – A group in the Netherlands has developed and tested a process for patterning tungsten inside transparent, resilient silicon nitride. The resulting wafer can be read optically. The materials were selected for their high melting points, low coefficients of thermal expansion, and high fracture toughness. A sample QR code was generated and successfully tested at high temperatures, the result of which implied 106 year survivability.
  3. Generational Bacteria DNA – This approach uses DNA as a means of storing data (see Data Storage: The DNA Option). Although this may sound extreme, consider that bacterial DNA has already survived millions of years in Earth’s rather unstable environment. It is a demonstrated high-density, resilient means of storing data. In this implementation, we would write data into the genome of a particularly hardy strain of bacteria, and rely on its self-survival to protect our data for the future. This option presents the challenge that it requires the future civilization to have the capability to study the bacteria’s DNA and identify the human generated code.

As humans continue to send probes to unique places in the solar system, I hope that we’ll consider and incorporate these new technologies. Who knows–In a few million years, our “cave paintings” may be hanging in some intergalactic museum.

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3. Carbon Nanotubes for Space Solar Power…(And Eventually Interplanetary Travel?)

Gadhadar R., P. Narayan, and I. Divyashree, “Carbon-Nanotube Based Space Solar Power (CASSP),” 4th Space Solar Power International Student and Young Professional Design Competition, Jerusalem, Israel, 2015.

NoPo Nanotechnologies Private Limited and Dhruva Space, India.

Single-Walled Carbon Nanotubes (SWCNT) have remarkable properties:

  1. Incredibly high strength-to-weight ratio (300x steel) [~50,000 kN m / kg]
  2. High electrical conductivity (higher than copper) [106-107 m/Ω]
  3. High thermal conductivity (higher than diamond) [3500 W/(m K)]
  4. High temperature stability (up to 2800°C in a vacuum)
  5. Tailorable semiconductive properties (based on nanotube diameter)
  6. Ability to sustain high voltage densities (1-2 V/µm)
  7. Ability to sustain high current densities (~109 A/cm2)
  8. High radiation resistance

These properties, specifically the strength-to-weight ratio, make them candidates for things like space elevators and momentum exchange tethers.

The authors of this paper posit a different application for SWCNT: space based solar power. This is the concept where an enormous array of solar cells is placed in orbit around Earth. Power is collected, and then beamed down to the surface at microwave frequencies for terrestrial use. The main idea is to collect solar power outside of Earth’s atmosphere, which attenuates something like 50-60% of the energy in solar spectra. The spacecraft has access to a higher energy density of solar light, which it then beams down to Earth at microwave frequencies, at which the atmosphere is transparent. A second advantage is that high orbiting satellites have much shorter local nights (eclipses) than someone on the Earth (there’s only up to about 75 minutes of darkness for geostationary orbit).

In this paper, the authors describe an implementation of a solar power satellite that would use semiconducting SWCNT as the solar cells. Based on the authors’ analysis, it’s feasible to mature this TRL 4 technology to achieve a peak energy of 2 W/g at 10 cents per W. This is compared to current TRL 9 options that offer roughly 0.046 W/g at 250 dollar per W. The design is entirely developed from different forms of SWCNT, which are used to make a transparent substrate, a semiconducting layer, and a conducting base. The three-layered assembly would have a density of 230 g/m2, roughly a third of current technologies.

Additionally, the authors advocate for SWCNT based microwave transmitters, which could potentially be more efficient than traditional Klystron tubes and wouldn’t require active cooling.

As an added benefit, this type of SWCNT microwave source could potentially be used in the newly discussed (and certainly controversial) CANNAE drive. In the paper’s implementation, CANNAE propulsion would only be used for station-keeping…But it’s not hard to extrapolate and conceive of a solar powered, CANNAE-driven spacecraft for interplanetary exploration.

I have to admit, I’m a bit skeptical of the economics of space-based solar power concepts. But this paper is nonetheless exciting as it highlights the potential applications for this relatively new engineered material. I can’t wait to see how SWCNT are used in the coming decades and what new exploration technologies they’ll enable.

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Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Alex Tolley November 23, 2015, 12:08

    Terraforming Titan: I think the idea is half-baked at best. If Titan is warmed, how exactly will the geology be suitable for plants? Titan may be suitable for habitation in fully enclosed, insulated, bases, but open surface conditions?

    Data storage with DNA. Bacterial DNA evolves just like any other over time. I fact it is worse than eukaryotic DNA as the replication process has an order less fidelity. DNA generally breaks down fairly quickly. The DNA recovered from Neanderthals just a few 10 kilo years old is fragmentary. I like the idea of DNA storage, but not in living organisms, and I suspect that even isolated DNA will need to be well protected. Linear polymers with different R groups, e.g. OH/H makes better, more stable, media.

    CN solar power. At 2KW/Kg withis would be a much needed breakthrough, if the material is stable in a radiation environment. This is exactly the sort of thing that Brian and I envisaged for future improved performance for our Spacecoach idea. I have been reading about experiments using CN for solar power, but this is the first where I have seen some power to weight data. I’d like to read that paper.

  • Mark Zambelli November 23, 2015, 12:28

    Thankyou Justin for relaying those for us. I’m not sure about the Titan terraforming plans… seems like a lot of unknown variables there from the outset (hence the lack of figures/model data). I wonder how Titan would respond to tweaks like this and I also wonder how many fission reactors would be needed to make an impact?

    The timecapsule ideas sound very interesting (not sure about burying in planetary surfaces though… I’d’ve thought a spaceborne archive would be the way to go). Embedding data in DNA though sounds intriguing.

    I’m also with you on the matter of spacebased power beaming as I think the energy would be better utilized in situ rather than beaming it down to our already warming surface, although the in-orbit infrastructure would hopefully expand along with the power generating architecture (the sooner Google set up their orbital data centres and just beam down the crunched-numbers the better… an ‘above-the-clouds’ cloud). However, I look forward to the myriad ways we’ll put SWCNTs to use.

  • Alex Tolley November 23, 2015, 12:37

    I’m a bit skeptical of the economics of space-based solar power concepts

    For terrestrial base load applications, I agree. It is most suitable for space based power requirements, followed by niche terrestrial applications like remote facilities, or where logistics of fuel supplies are difficult, e.g. war zones.

  • Michael November 23, 2015, 13:43

    1. An Approach for Terraforming Titan

    Remove the atmosphere and use it for space habitats, Titan is just to cold to terraform.

    2. Eternal Memory

    Use a carbon back bone with hydrogen and deuterium and other atoms as the bits, truly incredible volumes of information can be stored.

    3. Carbon Nanotubes for Space Solar Power

    If we built these very large solar space farms in Geo orbit we could also use the carbon nanotubes as construction materials to bring down current via superconductors (reduce losses) close to the outer atmosphere and then convert it to microwaves before transmitting it down to receivers on Earth. Could very light craft ride the microwaves upwards I am not sure but it might be possible?

  • Hop David November 23, 2015, 17:26

    Abbishek & friends seem to acknowledge Titan insolation is 1%. And they still want to warm it up via greenhouse?

    Titan’s nitrogen might be helfpful for setting up subcrustal habs within other moons of Saturn such as Enceladus. There might be depths where both pressure and temperature are hospitable to humans.

  • Frank Smith November 23, 2015, 17:30

    Titan has an earth-like geology?? There may be earth-analog geology features, but the “ground” is a couple a hundred (at least) kilometers of water and methane ice.

    The authors need to work the math to figure out how much heat would be needed for liquid water to exist. An improbable amount, I would guess.

    It may happen naturally when the sun goes off the main sequence in a billion years, plus or minus, but that’s a long time to wait.

  • Eric S. November 23, 2015, 18:09

    RE: Terraforming Titan
    Hmmm… increase oxygen on a body just chock full of hydrocarbon fuel? That would take care of the cryogenic surface temps for a bit. :)

    Seriously, greenhouse gases would help, but at some point (w/ massive solar reflectors) you make it into an ocean world. Which is OK, I guess, but not really what I think of when I see the word ‘terraforming’.

  • Enzo November 23, 2015, 19:08

    Some problems with terraforming Titan :
    1) One of the reasons Titan has an atmosphere at all is that it is cold. Raise the temperature to “habitable level” (what does it mean exactly) and it it’ll probably escape.
    2) If the temperature is high enough, the “rocks” ( read water ice) will melt and you’ll have a temporary ocean worlds until it boils off with the atmosphere or freezes like the Europa and Co.
    3) Surface toxicity : there are billions of years of organic compounds on Titan’s surface many of which are probably toxic to humans in the long term (carcinogenic) and short (direct poisoning). Considering how difficult is to wash off hydrocarbons and other organic compounds, even getting in and out of space-suits could be a hazard.

  • Joy November 23, 2015, 23:56

    Re: Titan – I think Eric S and Enzo have pretty well identified the major problems that make terraforming a ridiculous idea. But, Titan has real potential for colonization.

    1) Surface pressure of 1.41 atmospheres provides better meteorite and radiation shielding than Earth. Also very little wind. Inflatable habitats would be perfectly viable allowing large volumes to be enclosed with minimal material cost. Methane (aka natural gas) is present at a concentration of 4.9% at the surface, an excellent feedstock for synthesis of plastics, carbon fiber, or graphene.

    2) Water (ice) is easy to come by in the outer system. Nitrogen gas in bulk is only available on Titan. N2 is the essential ingredient in creating a habitat atmosphere which is not extremely flammable. (RIP Grissom, White, & Chaffee) Production of oxygen from water (ice) is trivial. Nowhere else could one so easily provide an artificial atmosphere for habitats of any size.

    3) Gravity of 14% of g is almost certainly enough to allow Earth flora and fauna to grow and develop (more or less) normally and maintain health. I am not so sure about Ceres with gravity less than 3% of g.

    4) The cold is your friend. Realistically, the only source of energy to power a habitat on Titan is nuclear. Nuclear energy is basically thermal. To get electricity, you need a temperature gradient, and Titan is an excellent heat sink. Insulation of the habitat from the cryogenic environment of Titan is not a problem. That’s good, as our settlers will need to be able to be very productive to pay for imported nuclear fuels indefinitely.

  • Pasander November 24, 2015, 6:42

    I would steal Titan’s atmosphere to terraform Mars!! (Or are there viable sources of nitrogen closer to Mars?)

  • ljk November 24, 2015, 12:18

    The whole Sol system is going to be torn apart to make one of these things, so terraforming any world won’t matter anyway….

    http://io9.com/5902205/how-to-build-a-dyson-sphere-in-five-relatively-easy-steps

    And any beings who are 1,500 light years from us can see our Dyson Swarm/Shell under construction and go nuts trying to decipher what is blocking our star from their perspective. :^)

  • Alex Tolley November 24, 2015, 12:29

    @ljk – the IO9 article is complete handwaving. Nut I think you know that. :)

  • Alex Tolley November 24, 2015, 12:34

    @Joy

    Gravity of 14% of g is almost certainly enough to allow Earth flora and fauna to grow and develop (more or less) normally and maintain health.

    Aren’t you forgetting about sunlight intensity? The ag areas will all have to be artificially lit using some source of power. Are the surface attractions really better than building a large space habitat instead of surface habs?

  • Javier Garcia November 24, 2015, 12:43

    1. Terraforming Titan?
    What for? Maybe I am kinky, but I think I prefer Titan the way it is. We have the Sahara desert and the Antartica, and I wouldnt like them to be changed. How boring the universe would be if all the planets looked like Hawaii.
    If you want to make some turism in Titan, just put a XXV century space suit, light, easy to carry, with an ergonomic helmet you dont realize you are wearing…. and enjoy the views.

    2. Eternal Memory.
    I personally think the only way to preserve something forever is to multiply it to the infinitum. Our memory and knowledge as a human soceity will be for sure better preserved if our space crafts get into the deep space in all directions, than buring some diffiult to understand device in the north pole of the moon.

    3. Carbon Nanotubes for Space Solar Power
    Well this is not a new idea. Some decades back in the Soviet Union, there were plans to install mirrows orbiting the Earth in order to put light into Siberian freezing land. Which is basically the same principle. If we heat a city with that light, or if we convert light into microwaves in orbit and then microwaves into electricity in some land based station, has the same economic impact: to reduce the energy bill. Then I see more closer the Soviet idea than a more complicated, and consequently more in the distant future project.

    By the way, congratulations for this very interesting web page!

  • TLDR November 24, 2015, 17:34

    @Pasander, maybe steering Titan into an “intersecting” orbit with Mars. Titan has what Mars lacks, including maybe lifeforms. ;)

    I don’t know if I want memories to be recorded forever; we are having a hard enough time getting rid of plastic trash…

  • Steve Bowers November 30, 2015, 5:54

    Terraforming Titan is difficult, but perhaps not impossible. Alex Tolley talks about a ‘fully enclosed, insulated base’; there are enough resources on Titan to build an enclosed base that covers the entire world. Paraterraforming, in other words.

    Obtaining heat is a more difficult problem; sunlight is 1/100th as strong as on Earth, so you would be in the same boat as the people in the film ‘Silent Running’; all your plants would die. A mirror array with 50 times the surface area of Titan could produce an Earthlike day-night cycle on this little world, but that seems a bit extravagant. But the enclosed. insulated base would be better at retaining heat than Earth is, so you could reduce the side of the mirror array by a significant amount (it would still be huge, though).

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