Centauri Planets: Year-End Thoughts

The title of yesterday's post -- 'The Odds on Centauri' -- would fit well with today's musings. Alpha Centauri makes us ponder the odds not just in terms of interstellar bets and future space probes, but also in terms of the likelihood of life around these stars. And after all, 2008 saw significant work on this question, including the contributions of Philippe Thébault (Stockholm Observatory) and colleagues, whose studies of Centauri A and B show that while stable planetary orbits exist there, the odds on those planets forming in the first place are long. Greg Laughlin (UC-Santa Cruz) isn't necessarily daunted by this work (he explains why here), but the planet-hunter extraordinaire is realistic about life-bearing planets in this environment, and even more judicious about the possibility of a technological society making its home in the system. The question rises naturally out of recent publicity given the 20th Century Fox film The Day the Earth Stood Still, in which it was...

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The Odds on Centauri

My friend Tibor Pacher has taken our interstellar bet to a new level, publishing a lengthy letter on the subject in the current Spaceflight, a journal published by the British Interplanetary Society. Tibor, remember, had made a prediction I found outlandish: That "the first true interstellar mission, targeted at the closest star to the Sun or even farther, will be launched before or on 6 December 2025, and will be widely supported by the public." I dissented, and we went public with the bet on the Long Bets site. Our funds are in the hands of the Long Now Foundation, with all proceeds going to good causes (details on the site). But while I have enjoyed tweaking Tibor about the bet, it must be said that he has a solid motivation for going so far out on the speculative limb. The visionary founder of peregrinus interstellar, Tibor hopes to provoke discussion and keep people thinking. Along those lines, then, let's look at his recent letter. One of the mission specs was a flight time of...

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Endurance Under the Ice

The Chicago Tribune offered up a Christmas day story on ENDURANCE, the NASA robot recently sent out for a shakedown mission in Lake Bonney, Antarctica. The lake is locked down under fifteen feet of ice, a place that could prefigure what we find under the ice on Europa. ENDURANCE stands for Environmentally Non-Disturbing Under-ice Robotic ANtarctiC Explorer, a vehicle created by Texas-based Stone Aerospace that is the successor to the Deep Phreatic Thermal Explorer (DEPTHX), which explored Mexican geothermal sinkholes in early 2007. The Lake Bonney expedition is covering its story via blog entries accessible here, the most recent being a note from December 21, dealing with navigation in an environment rich in icebergs up against the face of a glacier. You may remember from an earlier story that ENDURANCE spent several days in the water at Lake Mendota, on the University of Wisconsin's campus, last winter, with the new work pushing it into much harsher conditions. And history buffs...

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Carnival Notes: Fusion and Dark Energy

Is nuclear fusion easier to exploit in space than on Earth? Surprisingly, harnessing the power that drives the Sun may be a simpler challenge in propulsion terms than creating clean, safe power supplies for our planet. So says Brian Wang, whose NextBigFuture site speculates on fusion development (and, I should add, also hosts this week's Carnival of Space). Wang, who has been following fusion development for years, notes key differences between space and planet-side technologies, one of them being that dealing with stray neutrons is easier when you can vent them directly to space, rather than developing reactor materials that can both exploit their energy and ensure maximum safety. We know that a fusion power plant on Earth must operate for many years, working with steady state fusion that affords low maintenance and maximum reliability. Space, however, offers a different set of goals, with duty cycles in months before major overhauls, and the possibility of interesting pulsed fusion...

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BBC Audio: Dyson and Clarke

Will life spread out from Earth to flourish in the cosmos? Freeman Dyson has always supported the idea, and with great persuasiveness. BBC Four has created an archive of interviews on its Web site, among which is a clip of Dyson discussing life's variety and the imperative of broadening its range. The theoretical physicist, who played an important role in the development of the 'atomic spaceship' concept called Project Orion, doesn't believe man's role is simply to send the occasional astronaut out in what he calls 'a metal can' to look out a window. Image: Physicist Freeman Dyson, whose thoughts on life's spread into the cosmos can be found in the BBC archives. Credit: Dartmouth College. On the contrary, says Dyson in his interview, humans may have a shepherding role in building a permanent presence in space. Instead of ships full of scientists or colony vessels establishing a new human foothold, Dyson would argue that we humans are representative of a far larger pattern, the spread...

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To Another World

By Larry Klaes Years after Apollo, I ran into Frank Borman in a pilot's lounge at a southern airport. I was waiting for a student who wanted to use the lowering weather to practice instrument approaches. Borman was just passing through. Then CEO of Eastern Airlines, he was accompanied by lawyers and was busy signing papers. I wanted to tell Apollo 8's commander what that mission had meant to me, but I found myself completely tongue-tied. How to even begin to express what that first human presence around the Moon meant to all of us, and how to say it in ways that hadn't been said a thousand times before? Larry Klaes is, fortunately, at no such loss of words as he describes what many still see as the most daring mission ever flown, and the stunning images and audio it sent back on that Christmas Eve forty years ago. On Christmas Eve in 1968, three men took turns reading aloud from the Book of Genesis in the Bible. Such an event might not be terribly unusual then or now, considering the...

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A New Read on WASP-10b

A new camera called OPTIC (Orthogonal Parallel Transfer Imaging Camera), built at the University of Hawaii, has clarified our view of the distant world known as WASP-10b. Transits are helpful because they allow us to measure the size of the observed planets, and in this case, WASP-10b turns out to be not one of the most bloated exoplanets yet found, as once thought, but one of the densest. Orbiting some 300 light years from Earth, the planet's diameter is now known to be only six percent larger than Jupiter's, although it is three times more massive, with a corresponding density three times that of Jupiter. OPTIC is mounted on the University of Hawaii's 2.2-meter telescope on Mauna Kea. If you compare what it can do with its highly sensitive and stable detector to the best results from charge-coupled devices (CCDs), you find a photometric precision two to three times higher. According to this news release from the university's Institute for Astronomy, that's comparable to the most...

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Seeing Beyond the Big Bang

"It's no longer completely crazy to ask what happened before the Big Bang," says Caltech's Marc Kamionkowski. A good thing, too, for this is an absorbing subject, one I've been interested in ever since reading Poul Anderson's 1971 novel Tau Zero, in which the crew of the runaway starship Leonora Christine punches through into another universe. That novel assumed a cyclic universe, a collapse and a rebound, naturally making one ask whether a universe hadn't existed before our own. If so, could we learn anything about it? I would always have assumed the answer is no, but Kamionkowski's work, and that of collaborators Adrienne Erickcek and Sean Carroll, at least opens the possibility that we might see an 'imprint' of that earlier universe in data we can collect today. The work grows out of measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB), as examined by the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe. Temperature differences in the CMB can be used to study the theory of inflation, the...

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Kepler Ready for Florida

The Kepler mission launches March 5, a date to circle on your calendar. Kepler may become the first instrument to detect an Earth-size planet in the habitable zone of another star, using the transit method to examine 100,000 stars in its 3.5 year mission. The 0.95-meter diameter telescope is now at Ball Aerospace & Technologies (Boulder, CO), having passed the necessary environmental tests that demonstrate its space-worthiness. And word has just come that it has also passed the necessary 'pre-ship review' for transit to Florida in January. Image: An artist's rendering of what our galaxy might look like as viewed from outside. Our sun is about 25,000 light years from galactic center. The cone illustrates the neighborhood of our galaxy that the Kepler Mission will search to find habitable planets. Credit: Jon Lomberg. The image above, the work of the fine space artist Jon Lomberg, gives an idea of where Kepler will be looking. As always, Lomberg (creator of the gorgeous Galaxy Garden...

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A Disruptive Stellar Nursery

Give a young star two or three million years and planets are likely to emerge from the dust and gas surrounding it. But note the wild card shown in the image below, the danger of proximity to more massive stars. In the image, several stars not so different from our Sun at that stage of its evolution are shown with streams of material flowing away from them. We're seeing their outer disk material blown away by nearby class O stars, while inner materials might still survive to form rocky, terrestrial worlds close to the parent star. Image: This image from NASA's Spitzer Space Telescope shows the nasty effects of living near a group of massive stars: radiation and winds from the massive stars (white spot in center) are blasting planet-making material away from stars like our Sun. The planetary material can be seen as comet-like tails behind three stars near the center of the picture. The tails are pointing away from the massive stellar furnaces that are blowing them outward. Credit:...

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A New Angle on Dark Energy

The best news about recent dark energy findings is that they offer new ways to study the phenomenon. It's only been ten years since dark energy -- thought to be the origin of the universe's accelerating expansion -- emerged from the study of supernovae. Simply put, these exploding stars weren't slowing as they moved away from us, but were actually speeding up. It was a controversial result, to say the least, and one which remains one of science's primary riddles. But Chandra X-ray Observatory observations may be providing additional clues. The team on this work is led by Alexey Vikhlinin (Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics), its effort focused on galactic clusters. A model of the cosmos that incorporates dark energy is the only thing that explains why these clusters have grown so slowly during the last five billion years, in what Vikhlinin calls "arrested development of the universe." Dark energy seems to be working against the gravitational forces that allow clusters to...

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Life Beyond the Snow Line

The nice thing about our conventional idea of a habitable zone is that liquid water can exist on the surface. The less helpful part of that definition is that water is more readily available much further out in a planetary system, where it usually shows up as ice. Think in terms of the 'ice line,' or the 'snow line.' Beyond it is the area around the still-forming star where temperatures are low enough to allow hydrogen compounds to condense into ice grains. Of course, we're living proof of the fact that planets in the inner system can be covered with oceans. It's therefore plausible to think in terms of delivery mechanisms, with icy comets bombarding planets in the inner system to produce oceans like those on Earth. But we're learning to extend our reach beyond conventional habitable zone notions to places much further out, an idea recently given credence by divers hands. Consider the work of Scott Gaudi (Ohio State), Eric Gaidos (University of Hawaii) and Sara Seager (MIT), familiar...

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Giuseppe Cocconi, SETI Pioneer

By Larry Klaes Tau Zero journalist Larry Klaes gives us a look at the immense contribution of physicist Giuseppe Cocconi to SETI. It's sobering to realize how new a study SETI really is. Frank Drake's Project Ozma began less than fifty years ago, while estimates of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations are just now scaling back dramatically from the numbers Drake himself and Carl Sagan once used (Claudio Maccone's recent work on the Drake Equation arrives at an estimate of 250 such civilizations in the Milky Way -- more on this soon). If it weren't for the efforts of Cocconi and Philip Morrison, the theorizing behind the Drake Equation and the development of SETI itself might have been slowed for years, as Larry points out so ably below. On November 9, the world said farewell to physicist Giuseppe Cocconi, who passed away at the age of 94. Although his life's work was in particle physics and cosmic ray science, Cocconi will always be best known for co-authoring the paper with...

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Habitability Around Red Giants

The prospect of habitable planets around red giant stars fires the imagination, enough so that quite a few readers forwarded me the link to a recent paper looking at this question. I'm reluctant to speak for others, but I suppose a major reason we're so interested (and I, too, had flagged the paper as soon as it popped up on the arXiv server) is that it changes our view of habitable worlds once again. Not long ago it was only the G-class, Sun-like star that seemed a likely abode of life. Then we started looking hard at M-dwarfs. Do we now extend the search to massive red giants, the descendants of stars once like our own? Image credit: NASA, ESA and A. Feild (STScI). Werner von Bloh (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) and team show that the possibility is real. We've long known that life on a planet in Earth's orbit would not survive the swelling of the Sun, even if it did not actually engulf the planet. But life on Earth would actually die out long before that event, if...

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Europa: Tides of Life?

Europa is interesting enough without throwing in a new theory about energy sources. But Robert Tyler (University of Washington) has been studying the possibilities in Europan tides, using computer simulations that offer a different way of getting energy out of this icy world. We've speculated that Europa experiences enough tidal flex from Jupiter to create possible energy sources for life. What Tyler is saying is that the moon may experience not just internal pressures but large waves pushing through the submerged ocean. These waves, of course, could be a way of distributing heat and dissipating tidal energies. This being the case, the assumption that energy may come from flexing at the core, as well as pressures on the oceanic ice sheets, has to be supplanted by a different view: "If my work is correct then the heat source for Europa's ocean is the ocean itself rather than what's above or below it," Tyler says. "And we must form a new vision of the ocean habitat that involves strong...

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Brown Dwarf Observations and Speculations

It's tantalizing to speculate that there might be a brown dwarf system nearer to us than the Alpha Centauri stars. The odds seem long, but the discovery of a pair of brown dwarfs that are each no more than a millionth as bright as the Sun makes for exciting reading. The objects were originally cataloged by the Two Micron All Sky Survey (2MASS) as a single brown dwarf identified as 2MASS J09393548-2448279, but Adam Burgasser (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) has been able to show that the 'object' is actually a pair of the faint dwarfs. Here the Spitzer Space Telescope was the instrument of choice, showing that 2M 0939's brightness was twice what would have been expected from its temperature, which was determined to be in the range of 565 to 635 Kelvin (560 to 680 degrees Fahrenheit). The implication was that this is a brown dwarf binary, two dwarfs each with a mass some thirty to forty times that of Jupiter. And while the objects are a million times fainter than the Sun in...

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Carbon Dioxide Found on Distant World

Among the many things that boggle my mind is the fact that we can learn things about the atmosphere of planets that we can't even see. Take well-studied HD 189733b, a gas giant in close orbit around a K2-class star some 63 light years from us. No one has ever laid eyes on this beast, either in infrared or optical light. But that's of little moment to the Hubble telescope, among whose tools is NICMOS -- the Near Infrared Camera and Multi-Object Spectrometer. It and a lot of ingenuity get results. A transiting planet like HD 189733b moves behind its parent star every two days or so. When that happens, light from the star itself (the planet now being behind the star) can be compared to the combined light of planet and star when both are facing the Earth. Any emissions from the planet can be examined, a useful window into its atmosphere. Using such techniques, Mark Swain (Jet Propulsion Laboratory) and team have been able to detect carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide on this world, which...

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Alpha Centauri Back in the News

Here I was all set to write about the discovery of carbon dioxide on HD 189733b when Alpha Centauri made its way back into the news. Twentieth Century Fox will be transmitting the re-make of the science fiction classic The Day The Earth Stood Still to Alpha Centauri on Friday the 12th, timing the event to coincide with the film's opening here on Earth. The transmission is being handled by Florida-based Deep Space Communications Network, a private organization that offers transmission services to the public (not to be confused with the Deep Space Network that manages communications with our planetary probes). Why does Deep Space Communications Network offer transmission services to the stars? From its FAQ: For a number of reasons, one is because we have the equipment, and the know how so we can, and also because we thought it would be an interesting public service that is not currently available. We're doing it because we can... This dubious news comes on the heels of the in many ways...

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A Micro-Fusion Descendant of Daedalus

Back in 1966, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory's Dwain Spencer laid out the principles of a fusion engine that burned deuterium and helium-3 (an isotope of helium with a nucleus of two protons and one neutron). Deuterium and helium-3 make a good combination for rocket propulsion because a fusion-based drive based on them releases one-hundredth the amount of radioactive neutrons than deuterium/tritium. A spacecraft using such an engine would, in other words, require far less shielding. And even more to the point, the protons and alpha particles produced by the reaction can be readily manipulated by a magnetic nozzle. This was the background in 1971, when physicist Friedwardt Winterberg published a paper on fusion ignition using intense beams of electrons, speculating that such techniques could be used in rocket propulsion. Winterberg's work took place in a context of energetic study, with newly declassified work becoming available that examined the use of lasers in igniting fusion. At...

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Two Important New Texts

Caleb Scharf is director of the Columbia Astrobiology Center and author of a new book I intended to mention in Saturday's Notes & Queries section before running out of time. I want to be sure to insert it now, because if you're getting serious about the study of astrobiology, you'll want to know about this title. Extrasolar Planets and Astrobiology (University Science Books, 2008) is designed for university courses on the subject, with extensive background not only in the relevant physics and mathematics, but also in chemistry, biology and geophysics, studies the multi-faceted world of astrobiology melds into a complex whole. The book is actually based on the upper-level course Scharf has been teaching at Columbia. The author tells me in an e-mail that his intent is specifically to reach students serious about moving into the discipline: "The aim is to provide the basis for students to gain a real understanding of how to actually do research on exoplanets, as well as some of the...

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Charter

In Centauri Dreams, Paul Gilster looks at peer-reviewed research on deep space exploration, with an eye toward interstellar possibilities. For many years this site coordinated its efforts with the Tau Zero Foundation. It now serves as an independent forum for deep space news and ideas. In the logo above, the leftmost star is Alpha Centauri, a triple system closer than any other star, and a primary target for early interstellar probes. To its right is Beta Centauri (not a part of the Alpha Centauri system), with Beta, Gamma, Delta and Epsilon Crucis, stars in the Southern Cross, visible at the far right (image courtesy of Marco Lorenzi).

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