The fortunes of Breakthrough Starshot have been the subject of so much discussion not only in comments in these pages but in backchannel emails that it is with relief that I turn to Jim Benford’s analysis of a project that has done significant work on interstellar travel and is still very much alive. Jim led the sail team for several of his eight years with Breakthrough Starshot and was with the project from the beginning. In this article and a second that will run in a few days, he explains how and why press coverage of the effort has been erroneous, and not always through the fault of writers working the story. Let’s now take a look at what Starshot has accomplished during its intensive Phase I.

by James Benford

“Make no mistake — interstellar travel will always be difficult and expensive, but it can no longer be considered impossible.” – Robert Forward

Breakthrough Starshot has not failed, nor has it been canceled. Phase I of the program achieved its stated objectives: to identify potential show-stoppers in beam-driven interstellar propulsion and determine whether credible solutions exist. That goal was met.

Recent media coverage, including a Scientific American cover article titled “Voyage to Nowhere,” misunderstands both the intent and the outcome of Phase I. The reality is that the project thus far has been successful. It was put “on hold, paused” in 2024 to restructure for the next phase and seek broader support. It has not been canceled, as some in the media are saying.

I contend that Starshot succeeded because the key Phase I objectives were met. Of course, extensive future effort in the later phases is needed to create a fully functional Starshot system, principally the beamer and sailcraft (referred in the project as “photon engine” and “lightsail”). The major issues have been found to have credible solutions. A great many Starshot-related papers have been published. Many address the crucial issues of sail materials and sail ‘beam-riding’, meaning staying on the beam while undergoing inevitable perturbations. There is a final report, but it has not yet been published.

The principal issues for Starshot were 1) Can a phased array of lasers be constructed that is sufficiently coherent and directive as well as being affordable? 2) Can a sail material be made that will have high reflectivity, very low absorption, high emissivity and very low mass so as to be efficiently accelerated and not overheat? 3) Can a sail ride stably on the beam because of inherent restoring forces (without feedback, which is impossible over long ranges)? 4) Can data be sent back to Earth from the probe at sufficient data rates before the sail moves far beyond the target star?

In this first of two reports on the successes of the Starshot project, I discuss the shape of later phases in the effort, and distortions in the reporting on it. In the second report I will describe the major accomplishments of Phase I.

Starshot was not initiated to fully design, build and launch the first interstellar ‘lightsail’ (as they are called, referring to both the low mass and the near-visible frequency of the laser). The program path was divided into phases, as shown below. The first phase was to invest in high-risk, high-reward research that would de-risk the technology. Phase 1 was to find if there were any ‘show-stoppers’ and pave the way forward. It accomplished that.

High levels of research by Starshot retired most of these key issues for beam-driven sail systems, at least at the conceptual level. The results are at the TRL 2 level. Experiments are needed to verify the solutions for these major issues found in Phase 1.

In Phase II, a coalition of Caltech and other institutions would lead experimental technical demonstrations, and the first experiments in orbit. Then, with the technology concepts having been proven, it’s on to near-term missions shaking out various technologies while performing precursor missions, probably to the outer solar system. Much effort would be needed in systems engineering to enable such precursor missions.

The first phases of Starshot, the R&D program, are projected to cost $120M, which includes Phase 1, and concludes with solar system science missions in the medium-term. The large effort would then follow: construction of the Starshot System and finally, operation of the System and the first interstellar probe voyages.

Many requirements of the Starshot mission come together at the sail. Principal technical issues are the design of the beamer, material to be used and whether the beam and sail stay together, meaning stable beam-riding by the sail:

Stability is influenced by sail shape, beam shape and the distribution of mass, such as payload, on the sail.

Material properties, are its reflectivity, absorptivity and transmissivity, it’s tensile strength and its areal mass density.

Deployment of the diaphanous sail, correctly oriented and including any initial spin, is of course a key requirement.

• The beamer interacts with the sail through its power distribution on the sail-causing differential stresses. This depends on duration of the acceleration, the transverse width of the beam, pointing error of the beam as well as its pointing jitter.

Data return to Earth, interstellar communications, is perhaps the greatest challenge of all.

What Scientific American got wrong

Journalism is only the first draft of history, so flaws occur. Assessing a system as complex as Starshot is a challenge to a journalist with limited time. It would take years to read and absorb all the relevant literature and to mentally organize it into a reconciled and coherent understanding of the system as a whole.

The biased title – “Voyage To Nowhere” – of the piece in Scientific American, (which was chosen by the editors, not the author Sarah Scoles), may have been chosen to refer to the famous Bridge to Nowhere in Alaska and the Train to Nowhere in California. The Scientific American reporting is already being mistaken for a primary source by others, who are stating that Starshot has been “canceled”. This is an example of how media myths, once manufactured, propagate through journalistic copying.

The article fails to understand the Starshot project for a basic reason: The key people who did extensive work on the program were not available or not even known to the writer.

Because the principal workers from the Breakthrough Foundation and the leaders of Breakthrough Starshot, Pete Worden and Avi Loeb, were not interviewed, it seems the author did not know who the main contributors actually were. She relied instead on people she could easily reach. Few of them are major contributors to the program and most left the project early on or never actually participated in the project. A key participant who is not mentioned is Kevin Parkin [1, 2], who spent 8 years under contract, as did most of us who were in at the beginning or even before that. Others are Mason Peck (who is mentioned in the piece), Paul Mauskopf and Dave Messerschmitt. Unfortunately, the final report, which went through many iterations, has never been published publicly [3].

The recent policy of Breakthrough Starshot has been to have little contact with the media, so not to engage with Sarah Scoles at all didn’t help things: it left the door open for detractors to influence the narrative in her piece. Communication was a priority, with public outreach from and within Starshot during Phase 1. In research, communication enables cross-fertilization and prevents work duplication. The big gap now is a comprehensive publication that ties it all together. It could motivate researchers to continue or take up the project later if Phase II occurs.

The article also truncates the long history that led up to Starshot. Beam-driven propulsion concepts didn’t start in 2016! This was documented in my Photon Beam Propulsion Timeline, which appeared here at the start of Starshot in 2016. Media are not aware of how much has been done by the propulsion community over the last decades. Several areas of photon beam-driven sail system development, to include experiments demonstrating sail beam-driven flight [4, 5] and sail stability and dynamics, such as beam-driven spin of sails for stability [6, 7], have been reserched. The major innovation which caused the beginning of Starshot was the realization that going to much smaller sails and much higher accelerations reduces the cost of the overall system substantially.

The budget estimate given in the Scientific American article is clearly wrong. That only 4.5 million dollars could fund 8 years of steady work by many people is absurd. Thirty contracts were executed over 8 years. There were years of invitational meetings, a standing staff of advisors, subcommittees for specific topics; all of them further expenditures. And I count about 50 Starshot-related papers, some of which have been published since it was put on hold. I estimate that Breakthrough Starshot Phase 1 had a cost of 25 million dollars.

The way Forward

Phase II would lead to a firm experimental basis for the later phases in Figure 1. If Breakthrough decides to move on to Phase II, it must deal with the costs of interruption: institutional knowledge about the previous work, which is never fully captured in documentation, will need to be relearned, as the people who worked on Phase 1 have dispersed to other programs.

My second piece on Breakthrough Starshot, scheduled to run here next week, will describe the present state of the concept and the many advances achieved by Starshot in Phase I

Breakthrough Starshot was the most significant event in the history of beam propulsion, which clearly is the only way that probes can be sent to the stars in this century. And now the work goes on, the hope still lives, and the dream of beam-driven interstellar travel could be realized.

References

[1] “The Breakthrough Starshot Systems Model”, Kevin Parkin, Acta Astronautica 152, pp 370–384 (2018).

[2] “Starshot System Model” Kevin Parkin, Ch 3, in Claude Phipps, Editor, Laser Propulsion in Space: Fundamentals, Technology, and Future Missions, Elsevier (2024).

[3] Breakthrough Starshot Summary Report, September 2023, not published.

[4] “Microwave Beam-Driven Sail Flight Experiments”, James Benford, Gregory Benford, Keith Goodfellow, Raul Perez, Henry Harris, and Timothy Knowles, Proc. Space Technology and Applications International Forum, Space Exploration Technology Conf, AIP Conf. Proceedings 552, ISBN 1-56396-980-7STAIF, pg. 540, (2001).

[5] “Laser-Boosted Light Sail Experiments with the 150 kW LHMEL II CO2 Laser,” Leik Myrabo, Timothy Knowles, John Bagford and H. Harris, “High-Power Laser Ablation IV,” edited by Claude Phipps, Editor, Proc. Space Exploration Technology Conf., 4760 pp. 774-798 (2002).

[6] “Spin of Microwave Propelled Sails” Gregory Benford, Olga Goronostavea and James Benford, Beamed Energy Propulsion, AIP Conf. Proc. 664, pg. 313, A. Pakhomov, ed., (2003).

[7] “Experimental Tests of Beam-Riding Sail Dynamics”, James Benford, Gregory Benford, Olga Gornostaeva, Eusebio Garate, Michael Anderson, Alan Prichard, and Henry Harris, Proc. Space Technology and Applications International Forum (STAIF-2002), Space Exploration Technology Conf, AIP Conf. Proc. 608, ISBN 0-7354-0052-0, pg. 457, (2002).