Centauri Dreams
Imagining and Planning Interstellar Exploration
Crowd-Funding the Exomoon Hunt
I’ve been trying to figure out why exomoons — moons around planets that orbit stars other than our own — have such a fascination for me. On the purely scientific level, the sheer amazement of discovery probably carries the day, meaning that I grew up in a time long before we had confirmation of any exoplanets, and now we’re talking about getting data on their moons. But there’s also that sense of the exotic, for we can wonder whether gas giants in the habitable zone, which may be more plentiful than we realize, might have life on their own rocky moons.
David Kipping (Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics) has been a key player in the exomoon hunt for some time now (search under his name in the archives here and you’ll retrieve articles going back for years). David is now working with a ‘crowd-funding’ source called Petridish.org to fund a new mini-supercomputer that will go to work on the Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler (HEK) project. The idea behind HEK is to use Kepler data to look for transit timing variations (TTV) and transit duration variations (TDV), perturbations in the motion of the host planet that should flag the presence of a large exomoon. The detection of exomoons down to 0.2 Earth masses seems feasible with these methods, as Kipping has determined in earlier work.
Help us find the first exomoon is getting plenty of attention. The beauty of Petridish.org is that it lets individuals become a part of science one project at a time, playing an important role in the kind of things that get funded. Have a look at the site and you’ll see a wide range of projects ranging from a study of wolf populations on Isle Royale National Park (Lake Superior) to the collection of rock samples in Antarctica. Each project has a short video explaining the work at hand and the funding goal, along with the rewards for donors, which could be souvenirs of some kind or, for large donations, having the project named after the donor. Needless to say, backers are also on the fast track for updates on the research.
With over 1000 new planetary candidates just released by Kepler, the exomoon possibilities are getting more and more interesting, but Kipping points out that hunting for a single moon takes about 6 years of computer time:
Searching for moons requires the most sophisticated statistical techniques, many of which we have borrowed from cosmologists studying the Big Bang and dark energy. The systems we model have complex dynamical interactions and produce strange, asymmetric light curves requiring a lot of computer power. But we are *almost* there. A mini-supercomputer would have a huge impact on our search, so please do consider supporting us!
The fund-raising project still has eleven days to run and is making excellent progress. But faster computer processors would bump up the speed for HEK’s work, and with almost two weeks to go, Kipping is hoping the project can not only acquire the needed machine but upgrade it to state-of-the-art standards. Have a look at what HEK is doing with crowd-funding, and be aware, too, of Kipping’s paper “The Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler (HEK): I. Description of a New Observational Project,” available on the arXiv site and now accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal. For more on HEK, see the Centauri Dreams post New Exomoon Project Will Use Kepler Data.
Starship Surfing: Ride the Bow Shock
We’ve been looking at slowing down a starship, pondering ways the interstellar medium itself might be of use, and seeing how the stellar wind produced by the destination star could slow a magsail. A large solar sail could use stellar photons, but the advantage of the magsail is that it’s going to be effective at a greater distance, and we can also consider other trajectory-bending effects like the Lorentz turning studied by Robert Forward and P.C. Norem. But if you take a look at the relevant papers on magsails and other uses of the medium, you’ll find that they all assume the interstellar medium is more or less uniform. We know, of course, that it is not.
For one thing, the Sun itself seems to be near the boundary of the Local Interstellar Cloud, and there are a number of such clouds within about 5 parsecs of the Solar System. In fact, we’re not exactly sure whether the Sun is just outside the LIC or barely within it. In any case, as Ian Crawford has pointed out, Centauri A and B appear to be outside of the LIC in the direction of the G cloud, yet another denser region of the local interstellar medium. Although Robert Bussard assumed densities of about 1 hydrogen atom per cubic centimeter for his ramjet, a starship between denser clouds may encounter far less, perhaps 0.01 hydrogen atoms in the same volume.
The other wildcard is the fact that leaving and approaching a stellar system, we encounter the kind of interesting effects shown in the image below. This is anything but a uniform interstellar background. The bubble created by the solar wind is called the heliosphere, at the outer boundary of which is the heliopause (here the solar wind is balanced by inward pressure from the interstellar medium), and as you can see in the diagram, the bow shock forms on the outer edge as the star moves through the ionized gases of the medium. Still within the heliosphere is the region called the termination shock, where the speed of the solar wind is abruptly reduced — between the termination shock and the heliopause is the area known as the heliosheath.
Image: The complicated interactions between the Sun and the local interstellar medium. Credit: NASA/JPL.
Physicist and writer Gregory Benford calls the bow shock, that bumper of plasma and higher density gas that forms 100-200 AU from the star, “the obvious place to decelerate.” Obvious it may be, but I haven’t encountered the idea in the literature before, and it’s an ingenious enough notion that I suspect we’ll be seeing a paper or two on the matter before long. The suddenly higher density and plasma content available here should allow interesting maneuverability along the lines of the Lorentz force turning that Forward and Norem studied for course correction and round-trip missions. The bow shock should also offer prime ground for deceleration.
We have early data on the termination shock from Voyager 2, which crossed it at 84 AU back in 2007, while Voyager 1 entered the heliosheath at 94 AU in 2004, and Benford figures the plasma density increase at the bow shock should be one to two orders of magnitude above the interstellar density, and that means one or two orders of magnitude more deceleration. I want to quote him on this from a recent email:
My main point is that these are 3D structures, so a starship could navigate through them using the Forward I x B torque model which steers without decelerating. Each of the bow shock, heliopause and termination shocks are surfaces one can sail on and in, maximizing the deceleration.
So here is the method for the star sailors of the far future:
I imagine that any trial of a starship in, say 100 years, will begin with expeditions into the several hundred AU shock environment, have a look at distant iceteroids and maybe dwarf stars. Then turn back and try to decelerate using magsail skills on the shock surfaces available. (I surf, and this is like inverse surfing, using natural wave phenomena to slow.) Develop the tech and skills to sail the interstellar seas!
As a starship approaches a star, sensing the shock structures will be like having a good eye for the tides, currents and reefs of a harbor.
Image: Spitzer image and artists conception of the bow shock around R Hya. Credit: NASA/JPL, Toshiya Ueta.
Now we can look at certain astronomical images in a new light, as witness the Spitzer imagery and subsequent artist’s concept above. This is the star R. Hydrae in infrared, showing the bow shock about as well defined as I have ever seen it. Approaching a star using these decelereation methods would involve a long period of braking moving through and along the bow shock, heliopause and termination shock, staying within the high density plasma to take advantage of the increased densities there with the starship’s magsail fully deployed. After the long spiral into the inner system, continued magsail braking or perhaps inner system braking using a solar sail would allow the vehicle to maneuver and explore the new solar system.
Interstellar Space: Uses of the Medium
One of the first things we need to do in terms of interstellar exploration is to get a spacecraft built for the purpose to travel outside the heliosphere and give us solid measurements on the interstellar medium. The Voyagers are doing their best but they were never designed for what has become their interstellar mission, and while we can marvel at their longevity, it’s with the knowledge that their resources are few and their years of useful data gradually drawing to an end. Something along the lines of Ralph McNutt’s Innovative Interstellar Explorer would do the job nicely, allowing us to sample the environment that much longer missions will have to work in.
Lorentz Force Turning
The interstellar medium (ISM) is important not just because we have to learn about things like shielding a fast-moving spacecraft and cosmic ray flux but also because we may be able to use some aspects of the medium for deceleration. Yesterday’s discussion of magsails reminded me of a 1969 paper by P. C. Norem that took a truly round-about way to stop a laser-beamed lightsail at a destination star. Norem was interested in what we can call ‘thrustless turning,’ an idea Robert Forward explored in a 1964 paper (thanks to Gregory Benford for sending the Forward document, my copy of which had disappeared somewhere in the wilds of my office).
Norem’s notion was to send his spacecraft on a trajectory taking it far beyond the target star, using long wires and an electrical charge induced on the spacecraft to allow interactions with the interstellar magnetic field to cause it to turn. The vehicle would actually approach the star from behind (as seen from Earth), allowing a laser beam from Earth to slow it for system entry and exploration. The idea takes advantage of the fact that a charged object moving through a magnetic field experiences a Lorentz force at right angles to its direction of motion and the magnetic field itself. You can see why this would be attractive to those hoping to use the local interstellar medium to accomplish what would otherwise require massive propulsion systems.
Norem was able to extend the idea into a concept for a round-trip mission, because he realized that he could once again accelerate his laser-sail by turning on the beam from Earth. Coming up to cruise, the craft (now moving away from Earth) would again use Lorentz turning to make the needed 180 degree maneuver that would put it on a trajectory back to our planet. Final deceleration into the home system would be with the sail deployed against the same laser beam.
Image: An early concept for the Innovative Interstellar Explorer probe to the interstellar medium. Credit: JHU/APL.
Forward hadn’t worked out the laser sail ramifications as early as 1964, but he thought thrustless turning was a workable mechanism, one powerful enough, by his calculations, to allow not only for mid-course corrections but in some cases to return a small probe to Earth after its journey, in which case we have the odd situation in which the energy required to launch a flyby probe to a star is also the energy needed to fly a round-trip probe. Inspired by Norem, he might have considered deploying a thrustless turning system on some of his own designs, but I imagine that the idea of tripling the mission time, which is what would have happened, for instance, on one of his hypothetical Barnard’s Star laser sail missions, may have led him to drop the idea.
Powering Up the Spacecraft
But the notion persists that the interstellar medium is supple and useful if we can learn how to take advantage of it. We also need a lot more data — Forward noted that his 1964 calculations could be carried out only to 20 percent accuracy because parameters like the strength of the interstellar magnetic field were not yet known. But the physics of thrustless turning as applied to an interstellar mission are well worth considering as we continue working on future missions to the ISM. Here’s Forward’s overview of the idea in terms of technology:
In order to use this force in space effectively, it is necessary to find an efficient lightweight method of maintaining a substantial charge on a space vehicle in spite of the discharging effects due to field emission and ion capture from the surrounding regions. It is shown in the following sections that the concept is quite feasible for probes or vehicles in interstellar space, whereas it would not work in interplanetary space because of the high ion densities near the sun. By using a long, thin quartz fiber to increase the capacitance of the probe, the charge-to-mass ratio can be made very large without having to use high voltages. This, in turn, means that the necessary voltage and current can be obtained from a few grams of a suitable radioisotope or a very small charged particle acceleration.
Gregory Matloff considers thrustless turning in his book Deep Space Probes (2nd edition, Springer, 2005), where the charge carried by the spacecraft is generated by the decay of radioactive isotopes. He notes that a starship of any substantial size would demand an enormous electrostatic charge to make the turning maneuver feasible within decades. But in a 2005 paper with Les Johnson (also kindly sent by Gregory Benford), Matloff examined the use of an electrodynamic tether (EDT) to supply power to an Alpha Centauri expedition that would take 1433 years to reach its destination. In the conclusion of that paper, the authors make the case:
Electrodynamic tethers have a number of applications to interstellar travel. Consideration of a model for a sample world-ship mission through the local interstellar medium reveals that the interaction between an EDT and the interstellar magnetic field can satisfy on-board starship power requirements without an inordinate amount of starship deceleration [in other words, magnetic braking induced by the tether is found to be a minimal consideration].
Thrustless turning using an EDT’s interaction with the interstellar magnetic field will allow for course correction and rendezvous of solar sail-launched modules in interstellar space. It will not, however, allow rapid thrustless circling to allow a starship to re-enter a power beam or make numerous solar passes.
Lorentz force turning turns out to be slow and power-demanding, and maintaining the charge is also an issue because interstellar ions of opposite charge will be attracted to the spacecraft, thus reducing the effective charge. But the work of Forward, Norem, Matloff and Johnson on thrustless turning reminds us that interactions with the medium itself may become a component of starship design, just as the magnetic sail idea — braking against a stellar wind — uses the ambient environment to do something that would otherwise demand onboard fuel. Tomorrow we’ll look at a novel way of taking advantage of a star’s own interactions with the interstellar medium to slow a starship, a kind of solar sailing that may reduce overall travel times.
The Norem paper is “Interstellar Travel: A Round Trip Propulsion System with Relativistic Capabilities,” AAS 69-388 (June, 1969). Robert Forward’s paper on Lorentz force turning is “Zero-Thrust Velocity Vector Control for Interstellar Probes: Lorentz Force Navigation and Circling,” AIAA Journal 2 (1964), pp. 885-889. Matloff and Johnson write about electrodynamic tether possibilities in “Applications of the Electrodynamic Tether to Interstellar Travel,” JBIS 58 (June, 2005), pp. 398-402.
Braking Against a Stellar Wind
This morning I want to pick up on the ‘problem of arrival’ theme I began writing about on Friday, and we’ll look at interstellar deceleration issues a good bit this week. But I can’t let Monday start without reference to the Icarus results from Gran Sasso that finds neutrinos traveling at precisely the speed of light. All of this adds credence to the growing belief that the earlier Opera experiment was compromised by equipment problems. The news is all over the place (you might begin with this BBC account) and while we’ll keep an eye on it, I don’t plan to spend much time this week on neutrinos. We still have much to get done on the subject of slowing down.
Magsails and Local Resources
When you begin to unlock the deceleration issue, the options quickly multiply, and you find yourself looking into areas that weren’t remotely the subject of your earlier research. As we saw on Friday, the concept of magnetic sails grew organically out of Robert Bussard’s idea of an interstellar ramjet. Bussard didn’t want to slow down — he wanted to go very fast indeed. Read the comments on that post and you’ll find Al Jackson’s entertaining reminiscences of a dinner with Bussard (Tau Zero author Poul Anderson was present too), and a reminder that the scientist always claimed to have come upon the ramjet idea because of an encounter with Mexican food. The usual story has it that it was a burrito which, bitten down upon, suddenly opened for Bussard the splendors of matter being forced into a cylinder at high speeds.
Or maybe he was eating huevos rancheros — the story seems to have varied a bit over the years. Whatever the case, the idea of scooping up interstellar hydrogen and fusing it turned into a 1960 paper for Acta Astronautica and, along the way, into a critique by Robert Zubrin and Dana Andrews that showed just how much drag an electromagnetic scoop could generate. Andrews was working for Boeing at the time, and had grown interested in using Bussard concepts right here in the Solar System, thinking that a big enough scoop could gather hydrogen for use in an ion engine that could be powered up by an onboard nuclear reactor. A self-fueling ion drive might not be adaptable for interstellar missions, but for interplanetary work it seemed worth a look.
But the numbers were intractable. The magnetic scoop Andrews hoped to deploy created more drag than the ion engines produced thrust. The two researchers quickly found that the scoop’s best function was as a magnetic sail, and their work on the idea appeared in the literature in the early 1990s. In his 1999 book Entering Space, Zubrin recalls that the time was right for the magsail given that Paul Chu (University of Houston) had just invented the first high-temperature superconductors, which a magsail could theoretically use to create the magnetic field that would allow it to ride on the solar wind. Practical high-temperature superconducting wire born out of this work might one day allow magsails to achieve higher thrust-to-weight ratios than solar sails.
Magsails have clear propulsion implications, but Zubrin states the obvious about their most effective uses:
…the most interesting and important thing about the magsail is not what it can do to speed up a spacecraft — what’s important is its capability for slowing one down. The magsail is the ideal interstellar mission brake! No matter how fast a spaceship is going, all it has to do to stop is deploy and turn on a magsail, and the drag generated against the interstellar plasma will do the rest. Just as in the case of a parachute deployed by a drag racer, the faster the ship is going, the more ‘wind’ is felt, and the better it works.
Which takes us to the idea of using in-situ resources to tackle the deceleration problem. If your goal is to launch a starship that can decelerate in the destination system to explore it, the magsail lets you do the job without carrying the deceleration fuel aboard the vehicle. Play around with the numbers long enough and you’ll see what a huge boost this would be, for otherwise you’re carrying all the fuel needed to slow down a starship (moving, perhaps, at .10 c!), and that means you’ve got to get all of that fuel up to cruise in the first place. The idea of creating drag against the interstellar medium and a destination stellar wind thus has a powerful appeal.
Rise of the Superconductor
When Bussard studied how his ramjet could operate in a region of interstellar space where the density of hydrogen was roughly 1 hydrogen atom per cubic centimeter, he saw that he would need a collecting area of 10,000 square kilometers. This is so vast that even if it were made of 0.1-centimeter mylar, a physical scoop would weigh something on the order of 250,000 tons. But a much smaller collector generating a magnetic field seems practical given the advances in superconducting alluded to above, with a loop of superconducting wire deployed from the spacecraft, the current applied to it cycling continuously to generate the magnetic field. Here’s how Zubrin and Andrews described it in a paper based on their presentation at the 1990 Vision-21 symposium at NASA’s Lewis Research Center (now Glenn Research Center):
The magnetic sail, or Magsail, is a device which can be used to accelerate or decelerate a spacecraft by using a magnetic field to accelerate/deflect the plasma naturally found in the solar wind and interstellar medium. Its principle of operation is as follows: A loop of superconducting cable hundreds of kilometers in diameter is stored on a drum attached to a payload spacecraft. When the time comes for operation the cable is played out into space and a current is initiated in the loop. This current once initiated, will be maintained indefinitely in the superconductor without further power. The magnetic field created by the current will impart a hoop stress to the loop aiding the deployment and eventually forcing it to a rigid circular shape.
Image: A space probe surrounded by a magnetic sail. Early work on these concepts has taken place at the University of Washington under Robert Winglee, with reports available at NASA’s Institute for Advanced Concepts site. Credit: NASA/University of Washington.
Thus the hybrid concept Andrews and Zubrin came up with in the Vision-21 work, extending ideas they had first presented in a 1988 paper: Use laser beaming technology to push a sail to interstellar cruise speeds, then deploy a magsail upon arrival to reduce deceleration time. The authors looked at the numbers and worked out 0.8 years for acceleration, 17.4 years of coasting at almost half the speed of light, and 18.8 years for deceleration. This gets you about 10 light years out in around 37 years, a mind-bending pace that uses a huge sail and some generous assumptions about laser power that we’ll look at tomorrow. For there are other ways to use lasers, even for deceleration, and other ways, too, to exploit the local interstellar medium.
Zubrin and Andrews’ paper from Vision-21 is “Use of Magnetic Sails for Advanced Exploration Missions,” in the proceedings of Vision-21: Space Travel for the Next Millennium” (NASA Conference Publication 10059. The citation for their 1988 work is given in yesterday’s Centauri Dreams post.
Starships: The Problem of Arrival
You wouldn’t think that slowing down a starship would be the subject of a totally engrossing novel, but that’s the plot device in Poul Anderson’s Tau Zero (1970, though based on a 1967 short story called “To Outlive Eternity”). Anderson’s ramscoop starship, the Leonora Christine, can’t slow down because of damage suffered in mid-cruise. Edging ever closer to the speed of light, the crew experiences all sorts of time dilation wonders as they wrestle to regain control, and the ending, while scientifically dubious, is also in every way unforgettable. Anderson could be guilty of over-writing but few writers are gifted with his sheer imaginative sweep.
I’m thinking that coupling a ramscoop with a problem in deceleration is just the ticket for getting into the whole issue of starship arrivals. We can start with Robert Bussard’s 1960 paper “Galactic Matter and Interstellar Spaceflight,” which unwittingly paved the way for the whole magsail concept. Bussard came up with what for a time appeared to be the ultimate in fast transportation, a ramjet that collected interstellar hydrogen in an electromagnetic scoop thousands of kilometers in diameter as it traveled. The collected hydrogen would be used as fuel for the same kind of proton/proton fusion that powers up the Sun. Moreover, this would be an engine that would become more efficient the faster the ship went.
The Ramscoop and the Details
No wonder writers like Anderson and Larry Niven loved the idea, which fed their plots of humanity expanding into the galaxy — even Carl Sagan would point to the Bussard ramjet as a propulsion system that could get us up to a substantial percentage of the speed of light. But in the case of the ramjet, at least one of the devils in the details turned out to be bremsstrahlung radiation, which is produced when charged particles decelerate. Thomas Heppenheimer went to work on this in 1978 and found the Bussard design unworkable because the power that could be produced was dwarfed by the losses from the bremsstrahlung process.
Image: The Bussard ramjet, a concept which may turn out to have more applicability in braking than acceleration. Credit: Adrian Mann.
This wasn’t the end of the ramjet concept because Daniel Whitmire was able to figure out a different way to power up the engine (and in the future we’ll have to talk about Whitmire and his study of the CNO cycle, which makes for a much more powerful and efficient fusion engine), but the most troublesome critique emerged in 1985 through the work of Dana Andrews and Robert Zubrin. Bussard assumed an electromagnetic scoop of vast proportions, but Andrews and Zubrin came to realize that such a scoop produced more drag than it did thrust. In fact, their work showed that when leaving a star system, a ramscoop could serve as an electromagnetic sail. Thus the magsail entered into the lexicon and we began pondering its uses.
If we can’t use Bussard ramjet techniques in cruise, why not use them upon arrival? Switch on the magsail as the vehicle approaches its destination solar system and let it use the star’s stellar wind to brake against. The magsail produces efficient deceleration at high velocities, but an incoming spacecraft could also deploy a conventional solar sail upon arrival for final braking and movement within the planetary system. Magsails could also be used to provide the mission’s initial acceleration, pushed by a particle beam or by a stream of incoming pellets turned into plasma — Gerald Nordley has explored this concept and others germane to our purposes here.
Hybrid Starship Designs
Now we’re talking hybrid approaches to interstellar propulsion. A spacecraft might achieve its initial acceleration, for example, through other forms of fusion, or perhaps through beamed microwave or laser sail technologies, while deploying the magsail for arrival. Get into the details and hybrid systems begin to make sense, because there is nothing that says you have to use the same technologies for interstellar braking as you do for the rest of the journey. But the great problem of deceleration looms over the entire topic of interstellar travel, and it behooves us to think of ways to take advantage of external braking possibilities wherever possible, unless we want to devote most of the bulk of our spacecraft to an onboard deceleration system and its fuel.
I was interested to see that John Mathews considered the deceleration question in his recent paper on self-replicating spacecraft (see Robotic Networks Among the Stars and the subsequent three entries here). Mathews is well acquainted with magsail concepts and advocates braking against the stellar wind, noting that solar sails are efficient only relatively close to the star. Where he moves us a step forward is in his idea of using electrodynamic tether technologies to generate huge amounts of energy from the spacecraft’s movement through the stellar wind, powering the magsail itself and offering options for driving other devices.
The comparison of solar to magnetic sail in terms of decelerating a spacecraft is one we have to get into at more depth, so we’ll continue the deceleration discussion on Monday and most of next week, for it turns out that magsail and solar sail braking are only two of the options we might consider. I want to go through all of these and offer some references for an area of the interstellar conundrum that doesn’t often get the attention it deserves. Project Icarus has been pondering deceleration options too, and I’ll use some of our synergy with their work to consider what might be done.
The Bussard paper mentioned above is “Galactic Matter and Interstellar Spaceflight,” Astronautica Acta 6 (1960), pp. 179-194. Andrews and Zubrin’s key paper on the Bussard ramjet and drag is “Magnetic Sails and Interstellar Travel,” International Astronautical Federation Paper IAF-88-5533 (Bangalore, India, October 1988). Or you can read Zubrin’s well written exposition of all this in Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization (New York: Tarcher/Putnam, 1999). This one should be on your shelf in any case.
WISE: Into the Infrared Sky
As promised, we now have the infrared sky at a new level of detail thanks to the labors of the Wide-Field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, which has now mapped (with a few slight glitches) more than half a billion objects, from galaxies to stars to asteroids and comets. We can now expect a new wave of papers from the more than 2.7 million images WISE has delivered at four infrared wavelengths and can explore the WISE atlas of some 18,000 images ourselves.
The Big Picture
But first, I want to step back and look at astronomical discovery in context, a thought spurred by Larry Klaes, who sent me a note originally posted on the HASTRO-L mailing list (by Rich Sanderson, of the Springfield Science Museum in Massachusetts). Every now and then I read something that wraps back into the past and yet implies future things, generating a sense of connection with what the enterprise is all about. Such is the case in this passage Sanderson quotes from an 1875 book by Richard Proctor that looks at 19th Century transits of Venus. Remember, these are rare phenomena, occurring in pairs spaced eight years apart which are then separated by gaps of 121.5 years and 105.5 years. Listen to Proctor:
We cannot doubt that when the transits of 2004 and 2012 are approaching, astronomers will look back with interest on the operations conducted during the present “transit season;” and although in those times in all probability the determination of the sun’s distance by other methods…. will far surpass in accuracy those now obtained by such methods, yet we may reasonably believe that great weight will even then be attached to the determinations obtained during the approaching transits. I think the astronomers of the first years of the twenty-first century, looking back over the long transitless period which will then have passed, will understand the anxiety of astronomers in our own time to utilise to the full whatever opportunities the coming transits may afford; and I venture to hope that should there then be found, among old volumes in their book-stalls, the essays and charts by which I have endeavored to aid in securing that end (perhaps even this little book in which I record the history of the matter), they will not be disposed to judge over-harshly what some in our own day may have regarded as an excess of zeal.
Thus the past regards us, and in his own comment, Sanderson goes on to speculate about what’s ahead:
As Proctor had hoped, a copy of his little book did appear on a “book-stall” I visited in Ithaca, New York, from which it made the journey to Massachusetts to take up residence in my library. I wonder whose fingers will be caressing its pages in 2117.
For we do have a transit coming up on June 6, but after that, it will be December of 2117 before the next, and we can only wonder not only how astronomers of that day will observe it, but also about the techniques they will then be using to study planets around other stars. We can also wonder at the kind of nearby objects we will be considering as fair game for future space probes, given the results of missions like WISE. We’re learning that ‘rogue’ planets may be out there in huge numbers, and that brown dwarfs are interesting targets in their own right. Perhaps in the new WISE data we’ll find a few objects like these to put on our exploratory wish list, even as we imagine future astronomers looking back and marveling at our primitive equipment.
Analysis and Papers Ahead
But as we begin to dig into what WISE has produced, we’ve already learned that the mission has now identified, according to NEOWISE principal investigator Amy Mainzer, some 93 percent of the near-Earth asteroids larger than 1 kilometer, thus satisfying the congressional mandate for the SpaceGuard project.
NEOWISE is the asteroid-hunting portion of the WISE mission. Its efforts have also found fewer mid-size objects among near-Earth asteroids than used to be thought were there. The recent discovery of 2010 TK7, the first known Earth Trojan asteroid, underscores the capabilities of NEOWISE. Trojans are asteroids that share an orbit with a planet, circling the Sun in front of or behind the planet — they circle around the stable gravity wells called Lagrange points. 2010 TK7’s orbit is well known over the next 10,000 years, showing that at no time during that period will it approach any closer than 20 million kilometers to the Earth.
WISE is, of course, equally attuned to the study of distant objects, as in the image below, which shows the ‘light echo’ of the supernova event associated with Cassiopeia A, one of the most powerful radio sources in the sky. The light from the explosion reached the Earth around 1667 AD but seems to have gone unnoticed, probably because dust between the event and the Earth would have dimmed the explosion so as to make it all but invisible to the naked eye.
Image: The light echo of the explosion that produced Cassiopeia A. The central bright cloud of dust is the blast wave moving through interstellar space heating up dust as it goes. The blast wave travels fast – at an average speed of about 18,000 kilometers per second (11,000 miles per second) – but that is still only about 6% of the speed of light. The blast has expanded out to about a distance of 21 light-years from the original explosion. The flash of light from the explosion traveled faster – at the speed of light – covering over 300 light-years at the time that WISE took this picture. The orange-colored echoes further out from the central remnant are from dust heated as the supernova flash reached the dust centuries after the original explosion. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/WISE Team.
Among the many discoveries of WISE are the Y-class brown dwarfs that are the coolest known class of stars. We now wait as the astronomical community sifts through the 15 trillion bytes of returned data in search of brown dwarfs and other interesting IR signatures in nearby space. The WISE all-sky archive with catalog and image data is available online along with instructions.
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