Michio Kaku on Kardashev and Survival

Noted first on Sentient Developments, this interesting video of Michio Kaku discussing the Kardashev scale and where we fit into it. Kaku believes we are living at the critical time when our Type 0 civilization becomes a Type 1. What can happen next gets dicey indeed, as the video makes clear, and it may well be that cultures playing with nuclear weaponry have scant chance of survival, never reaching the point where, as Type 1, they control the processes of their own world and build toward Type 2, the essentially indestructible species that manages all the power of its Sun. [youtube V7FVjATcqvc] It's intriguing to speculate on how Kubrick and Clarke's 2001: A Space Odyssey would have been received had the initial five minutes, in which scientists discussed the robotic seeding of the galaxy, been left in the film. As it was, the mysticism and rich symbolism of the ending left many scratching their heads even while appreciating the grandeur of the story. But Frank Tipler and others...

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Exoplanet Prediction by Stellar Elements

Knowing where to point our future planet-hunter telescopes in space is crucial, because we'll want to maximize observing time for the most likely stellar candidates. There are various ways to narrow the list, but one involves the study of existing spectroscopic data. Charles Lineweaver (Australian National University) calls it a 'poor man's technique,' an inexpensive way to look at the elements within stars and calculate from their abundance the kind of planets that may have formed in that system. The differences between the rocky terrestrial planets in our own Solar System and the outer gas giants are instructive. We can assume that planets form from the same raw materials as the stars they orbit. But the inner planets lack volatile gases like hydrogen and helium compared to the Sun, while maintaining the same abundances of heavier elements like silica and iron. The latter don't vaporise easily in warmer inner orbits. So a star heavy in iron is likely circled by inner planets...

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An Asteroid Deflection Precursor Mission

We often talk about the need to find and track Earth-crossing objects, but what do we do if we find one that's likely to hit us? We're far from demonstrating our ability to deflect an incoming asteroid, making a precursor mission of some kind a necessity. The European Space Agency has been carrying out design studies with three industrial consortia -- led by Alcatel Alenia Space, EADS Astrium and QinetiQ -- for a precursor mission called Don Quijote that would involve two separate spacecraft. What the ESA has in mind is to drive an impactor into an asteroid to assess the resulting deflection. The impactor vehicle, called Hidalgo, would hit the target asteroid at a relative speed in the area of ten kilometers per second. The orbiter, called Sancho, would measure the deflection with a high degree of precision and act as a data relay for the approaching impactor. It would also deploy instruments in the form of what ESA calls an 'autonomous surface package' to to study the asteroid's...

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Gliese 581: Stable but No Transits

Those following the Gliese 581 story have been awaiting the results of the MOST observations with great interest. The Canadian mission put the red dwarf under study for six weeks after the recent flurry of speculation regarding a possible habitable planet, Gliese 581 c, in the system. If the planet made a transit, moving across the face of its star as seen from Earth, then we could learn more about its size and makeup. The results are now in, and no transit occurred. But a second issue is a bit more satisfactory. During the observation period, Gliese 581 showed little change in brightness, indicating a level of stability that would prove beneficial to the growth of life, whether on Gliese 581 c or the more distant (and massive) Gl 581 d, which may orbit on the outer edge of the star's habitable zone. Here's Jaymie Matthews (University of British Columbia and a MOST mission scientist) on the matter: "The climate there should not be a wild rollercoaster ride that would make it...

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SETI: Consuming Our Way to Silence?

UK science minister Malcolm Wicks met yesterday with leading British astronomers in a London gathering whose subject was life in the universe. The researchers, drawn from UK universities and research institutes, proved quite optimistic about the chances of intelligent life elsewhere. An article in this morning's Guardian quotes Glenn White, head of astrophysics at the Open University: "You can be pretty sure that if there's life out there, we've a good chance of being able to say so." White's optimism doubtless stems from his work on the Darwin project. The mission, scheduled for a 2015 launch, will deploy a set of telescopes to look for terrestrial worlds around other stars. And although the technology is still in the development stage, the hope is that Darwin's capabilities will extend to conducting spectral analyses on the most interesting planets it finds. That makes detecting biomarkers like large amounts of oxygen along with methane or nitrous oxide a real possibility. Of the...

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Re-Shaping the Big Bang

Tom Ashbrook at Boston's WBUR does a terrific job interviewing Neil Turok (Cambridge University) and Alan Guth (MIT) on an issue dear to them both: the Big Bang. Did it occur as advertised, or are new ways of looking at the question through the lens of string theory changing everything? How has the inflation model developed over the years, and did the Big Bang mark the beginning of time? Here's an interview excerpt from Turok: "I think the challenge we're raising is that the usual picture of the Big Bang is based on an assumption which is that time, space, matter, energy, everything began at the Big Bang. And that assumption was made in the 60s when people got the first strong observational evidence that the Big Bang happened. But it's really just an assumption and our point of view has come out of new development in physics which are enabling us to describe the behaviour of matter in very extreme conditions such as were present around the Bang. And what we're seeing is that the Big...

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New Horizons Jupiter Data Complete

New Horizons' recent encounter with Jupiter seems to have gone off flawlessly, returning stunning imagery in the bargain. For the Pluto-bound spacecraft, the giant planet turned out to be more than a simple gravitational slingshot. Jupiter was also a shakedown for the even more intriguing planetary encounter to come in 2015, letting both spacecraft systems and operators here on Earth work through a real-time event. This image of the moon Io, showing a volcanic eruption in progress on that tortured world, was only one of many scenes the spacecraft captured (including excellent views of Jupiter's rings). If you look at the Io picture carefully, you can see another plume, from the volcano Masubi at about the 7 o'clock position. On the nightside, the volcano Loki is visible as illuminated by Jupiter. The images that went into this animation were taken over an eight-minute span on March 1. Image: This five-frame sequence of New Horizons images captures the giant plume from Io's Tvashtar...

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Alpha Centauri in Context

If we're finding planets in places 1500 light years away, as the TrES project just did, why don't we know more about planets in the Alpha Centauri system? One problem is that Centauri A and B are relatively close to each other, with a semimajor axis of 23.4 AU. Leaving Proxima Centauri out of the picture (at 12,000 AU, its short-term effects can be disregarded), it's still true that radial velocity studies have to take the complicated and varying spectra that binaries produce into account. In other words, getting a read on binaries like these in terms of the slight wobbles that signal a planetary presence can consume lots of telescope time. Nonetheless, we do have some data thanks to observations with the Anglo-Australian Telescope. And we've learned this: No planet around either Centauri A or B induces a velocity variation as high as 2 meters per second. The implication is that any planet orbiting either star individually (in what is known as an S-type orbit) has to have a mass less...

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New Planet is a Scorcher

Catching up with some older items, I want to be sure to cover a planet recently discovered in the constellation Hercules, because it gives further punch to a fact about exoplanet studies: Off-the-shelf equipment made for amateur astronomers can be effective at detecting new worlds. The planet in question was found by the Trans-Atlantic Exoplanet Survey (TrES) and later observed by the Hungarian Automated Telescope Network (HATNet). Because it blocks out about 2.5 percent of the star's light as it passes in front of it, the transiting TrES-3 readily shows up in these projects' automated surveys. The method is clearly effective. TrES works with wide-field timed exposures, measuring the light from every star in the field to seek out transits. When TrES-3 was discovered with these techniques, it was studied again with one of the 10-meter instruments at the Keck Observatory on Mauna Kea and by the Las Cumbres Observatory in Hawaii, as well as with instruments at Lowell Observatory and the...

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Surface Features on a Nearby Star

An image with 25 times the resolution the Hubble Space Telescope can produce has shown unprecedented levels of detail on the star Altair. Located 15 light years away in the constellation Aquila (The Eagle), Altair is a young, hot star about twice the size of the Sun, known to rotate at 300 kilometers per second at its equator. That's about sixty times Sol's rotation rate, fast enough to flatten Altair into an oval, its radius larger at the equator than the poles. In fact, it's 22 percent wider than it is tall. [kml_flashembed movie="https://centauri-dreams.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/altair_small.swf" height="300" width="450" /] Animation credit: Ming Zhao (University of Michigan) How do you get a surface image of a star a million times farther away than our own? The technique is optical interferometry, combining the light from multiple telescopes to simulate a much larger instrument. In this case, the four telescopes used (at Georgia State University's Center for High Angular...

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Charter

In Centauri Dreams, Paul Gilster looks at peer-reviewed research on deep space exploration, with an eye toward interstellar possibilities. For many years this site coordinated its efforts with the Tau Zero Foundation. It now serves as an independent forum for deep space news and ideas. In the logo above, the leftmost star is Alpha Centauri, a triple system closer than any other star, and a primary target for early interstellar probes. To its right is Beta Centauri (not a part of the Alpha Centauri system), with Beta, Gamma, Delta and Epsilon Crucis, stars in the Southern Cross, visible at the far right (image courtesy of Marco Lorenzi).

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