Centauri Dreams
Imagining and Planning Interstellar Exploration
Obousy Appearance on TV Tonight
Be aware that the History Channel show The Universe will air an episode at 2200 EST tonight (December 13) in which Richard Obousy will discuss interstellar propulsion concepts. The air time will probably vary depending on your cable provider, so be sure to check. Richard, once project leader of the Icarus effort and still actively involved at every stage of the Icarus design, is a Texas-based physicist whose work we have often discussed in these pages. I was there for his presentation on Icarus at the recent Oak Ridge interstellar workshop and look forward to seeing him on the tube.
Addendum: This episode is now available online.
Optimizing Interstellar Mission Costs
Although we frequently talk about beamed sails for interstellar missions, the fact is that spacecraft on the scale Robert Forward used to talk about that could take us to Alpha Centauri in 40 years won’t come out of nowhere. The evolution of the solar sail into the beamed sail will involve all kinds of experimentation and a variety of mission concepts developed for use right here in the Solar System. Consider just one, a microwave-driven sail that could reach Mars in one month, and Pluto in five years. I wrote about this one in A Microwave-Beamed Sail for Deep Space.
The idea comes from Jim and Greg Benford, who discussed it in a 2006 issue of the Journal of the British Interplanetary Society. The scenario involved a phenomenon the duo had discovered in their laboratory work on microwave beaming. Experimenting with a 7.5 g/m2 carbon sail, they had uncovered the fact that molecules evaporating from the sail created accelerations beyond what would have been expected from photons alone. Painting various compounds on the sail would allow it to take advantage of this ‘desorption’ to produce an extra kick.
A mission like this would be a mixture of the familiar and the unknown. The sail would be deployed by conventional rocket into low Earth orbit, then pushed by a microwave beam from Earth to cancel its solar orbital velocity and create a close flyby of the Sun for a gravitational slingshot boost augmented by deploying the sail at perihelion. The Benfords work has shown that no sail damage results from desorption of the materials painted onto the sail. Having expended its desorbed materials, the sail would then operate as a conventional solar sail for the rest of its interplanetary journey, still using a solar push as far out as the orbit of Jupiter.
Near-Term Uses of Beamed Sails
Fast missions to Mars are desirable, but let’s consider may be the first practical assignment for microwave beaming: Shortening the amount of time a solar sail needs to escape Earth orbit. Let me quote from Jim Benford’s new paper on microwave beaming:
Computations show that a ground-based or orbiting transmitter can impart energy to a sail if they have resonant paths — that is, the beamer and sail come near each other (either with the sail overhead an Earth-based transmitter or the sail nearby orbits in space) after a certain number of orbital periods. For resonance to occur relatively quickly, specific energies must be given to the sail at each boost. If the sail is coated with a substance that sublimes under irradiation, much higher momentum transfers are possible, leading to further reductions in sail escape time.
Benford believes that resonance methods can reduce escape times from Earth orbit by over two order of magnitude compared to a solar sail using only the pressure of solar photons. And while microwave transmitters require much larger apertures for the same focusing distance than lasers, they make up for this by producing higher acceleration. This is why the carbon microtruss material that the Benfords used in their laboratory work is so significant. It can be heated to high temperatures without damage, allowing a stronger beam and higher acceleration. That means more velocity in less distance, which in turn allows the aperture size to be reduced.
A number of missions for microwave beaming are in the literature that develop the idea for use here in the Solar System, with 175 kilometer per second speeds produced during a relatively short period of acceleration. Missions like these could be critical supply channels for getting small payloads to human crews on Mars or the asteroid belt, with deceleration by aerocapture in the case of Mars, or perhaps through a decelerating microwave beam. Here we’re talking about potential travel time to Mars as low as 10 days, though not for human crews. Scientists have explored missions to the outer planets as well, including Jordin Kare’s work on a beamed energy mission to Jupiter, and Benford envisions 250 km/sec for interstellar precursor work.
Assessing an Interstellar Precursor
But Jim Benford’s studies of cost-optimization offer a number of examples, beginning with a slower precursor mission moving at 63 km/sec. The 1-kilometer sail is driven through a ground-based array supplied by power from the Earth grid from a site chosen to optimize the effect of the 100 GHz waves — this implies a high altitude location with low humidity. A capital cost of $144 billion can be reduced by high-volume manufacturing and economies of scale to $21.6 billion, in a range comparable to Flagship missions like Gaileo and Cassini. Benford works through the hardware and plots the ‘learning curve’ — the decrease in unit cost of hardware with increasing production — that accounts for increasing economies in the various technologies the mission will require. The cost savings ratio (CSR) is what brings the mission within reach.
Moreover, this kind of precursor mission creates a lasting infrastructure:
The operating cost, i.e., the electrical cost to launch out of the Solar System is 17 M$. This is surely far less than the capital cost of building the sail itself, so once built, the beaming facility can send many probes into the interstellar medium. With a launch cost less than the cost of the 1 km sail, the strategy will be to use the system to launch sequences of sails in many directions to sample the Interstellar Medium and flyby Kuiper Belt and Oort Cloud objects, such as Sedna. As the facility grows, the sails will be driven faster and can carry larger payloads.
Several other mission concepts are examined in this paper, and I’ll deal with them briefly tomorrow, along with some of Jim Benford’s observations on cost-optimized scaling. Ultimately, we’re interested in a development path that will support what he calls ‘directed energy propulsion,’ and his paper is a clarification of what a roadmap for sail technologies leading to beamed energy sail missions must include. Further work on cost-optimization should help us examine other interstellar concepts from Robert Forward, Greg Matloff and others to find the optimal development path.
The paper is Benford, “Starship Sails Propelled by Cost-Optimized Directed Energy,” soon to be made available on arXiv. Also relevant is G. Benford and P. Nissenson, “Reducing solar sail escape times from Earth orbit using beamed energy,” Acta Astronautica Vol. 58, Issue 4 (February 2006), pp. 175-184. The Benford brothers’ paper cited at the top of the article above is “Power-Beaming Concepts for Future Deep Space Exploration,” in the Journal of the British Interplanetary Society Vol. 59 No. 3/4 (March/April 2006), pp. 104-107.
The Case for Beamed Sails
There is a natural path through solar sails, which are now flying, toward beam-driven propulsion, and it’s a path Jim Benford has been exploring for the last eighteen years. In my Centauri Dreams book I described how Jim and brother Gregory ran experiments demonstrating that carbon sails could be driven by microwave beams back in the year 2000. We learned that the theory worked — a sail could indeed be propelled by a beam of photons — and moreover, we learned that the configuration of the craft and propulsion system allowed it to be stable.
Now we’re talking about beam-riding, which the Benfords were able to demonstrate in later experiments. For it turns out that the pressure of the beam will keep a concave-shaped sail in tension, and as Jim pointed out in a recent email, the beam also produces a sideways restoring force. His work showed that a beam can also carry angular momentum and communicate it to the sail, allowing controllers to stabilize the structure against yaw and drift. This is as far as our microwave-beaming experiments have taken us so far, but as solar sails become less an experimental than an operational technology, we can move to space-based experimentation.
Image: A near-term sail experiment under microwave beam. Courtesy of James Benford, Microwave Sciences.
Robert Forward’s name always comes up in such discussions. An old friend of Benford’s, Forward developed enormous interstellar mission concepts using beamed propulsion, ideas that physicists like Geoffrey Landis and Robert Frisbee were able to tweak, just as Jim did, to produce smaller systems. Jim went on to take a cost-optimized approach to the issue, understanding that even the most ingenious of starship designs will be driven by economics. His new paper discusses the matter and notes that a design project using his methods called Project Forward will be undertaken by Icarus Interstellar, the group that manages Project Icarus.
Benford’s notions are solid and based on long experience. As he wrote recently:
I feel beam-driven propulsion is more firmly grounded, more thought through and quantified than nuclear propulsion methods at present. We should put more of our effort into beam-driven sails in this era of little funding. The on-going development of solar sails will tell us how to deploy and control sails, so we will keep close links with that community. This will lead to beam-driven experiments and simulations. Let’s get on with it!
Let’s talk for a moment about the experimental work on beam-driven sails, which was enabled by the invention of carbon microtruss material that is both strong and absurdly light. The material from which a sail is made is critical given that a certain fraction of the power the beam provides the sail will be absorbed and must be radiated away. Given that acceleration is strongly temperature-limited, materials with low melt temperatures like aluminum, beryllilum and niobium are ruled out for beam-driven missions, no matter how useful they may be for standard solar sailing, which uses solar photons rather than concentrated beaming to drive the spacecraft.
Carbon mesh materials work admirably for beamed-sail experiments because carbon has no liquid phase and sublimes instead of melting, as Benford explains in his new paper. These materials allow a sail to operate at temperatures up to 3000 C, allowing them to be ‘launched’ in a vacuum chamber here on Earth without burning. The Benfords were able to push ultralight sail materials at several g’s of acceleration, with the sails reaching temperatures in the range of 1725 C from microwave absorption while remaining intact. Bear in mind that various mission concepts call for lower power densities than the scientists used here. Operating on Earth, they needed a powerful push to get the forces needed for liftoff within a gravity well.
Robert Forward’s interstellar concepts were awesome in their scale, but Benford points out that there is a path to be followed before getting to the interstellar stage. From the paper:
It’s important to realize that for large-scale space power beaming to become a reality it must be broadly attractive. This means that it must provide for a real need, make business sense, attract investment, be environmentally benign, be economically attractive and have major energy or aerospace firms support and lobby for it. Therefore, we include missions that could lead to Starwisp missions, from an infrastructure base developed for smaller-scale missions.
Starwisp was another Robert Forward concept that came out of a time when the scientist moved from laser propulsion ideas to microwaves, whose longer wavelength allowed the sail to be little more than a grid — the wavelengths involved are comparable to the human hand, as Benford told me in an interview some years back, whereas lasers operate at minute wavelengths. A microwave sail, in other words, could be far lighter than the sail required for a laser push because the microwaves are stopped by a conducting surface with gaps smaller than a wavelength. From this, Forward came up with the ultralight ‘starwisp’ design.
Imagine a wire mesh about a kilometer in diameter that weighs no more than sixteen grams. You’ll want data return from the spacecraft so Forward included microchips at each mesh intersection. The craft would be so light and insubstantial that it would be invisible to the eye, but it could be accelerated at 115 g’s using a 10 billion watt microwave beam, taking it to a cruising speed of 20 percent of the speed of light within a few days. Forward’s Starwisp paper included his usual love of gigantic objects, including a beaming lens 50,000 kilometers in diameter.
Geoffrey Landis has shown that the wrong materials would cause a Starwisp to be fried by the powerful microwave beam thus generated, which is why people like Benford are looking at entirely new sail materials as they explore closer and more practicable missions. And practicality — a realistic path forward through solar sails to beamed propulsion — is what I want to discuss on Monday, when I’ll run through the mission concepts Jim Benford has looked at from the standpoint of cost-optimization. Because if we’re going to move beamed sailing out of the realm of science fiction, we’ll need missions that are near-term and offer a clear and economical way to deep space.
The paper is Benford, “Starship Sails Propelled by Cost-Optimized Directed Energy.” I’ll post the link when this paper becomes available online.
Detecting a ‘Funeral Pyre’ Beacon
Beamed propulsion continues to be a particular fascination of mine, which is why I want to start a discussion tomorrow of Jim Benford’s latest paper on beamed sails and how they might be optimized for both performance and cost. Reading through Benford’s work, however, I also came across Chris Wilson’s recent articles in Slate, which discuss Jim and Gregory Benford’s work on interstellar beacons and the SETI ramifications. I want to be sure to point to Wilson’s How to Build a Beacon because I don’t see ‘Benford beacons,’ as they’re increasingly called, discussed much in the media, and Wilson does a fine job at setting the concept in context.
Messages into Deep Time
The two part Slate series (the first article is The Great Silence) considers humanity’s legacy and relates it to the issues raised by SETI. The Arecibo message sent in the direction of the globular cluster M13 in November of 1974 is Wilson’s point of departure. Carl Sagan and Frank Drake set up the famous message in the form of 1679 binary digits that could be decoded into a set of simple pictures showing the image of a human being and other aspects of our existence including a double helix and a graphic of the Solar System. There is rudimentary content here, but the idea that such a fleeting signal would be received is dubious, given the odds on its happening to have a receptive civilization in its path in the first place. As Wilson writes:
Even if we left the Arecibo telescope squealing out its signal until its power ran out and its hardware rusted, there’s virtually no chance that the emanations would get anywhere in particular, and hang around long enough to be seen or heard. The only way we’ll make contact is if we can make a beacon that keeps going for millions or billions of years after we’re gone.
Two of the signals sent to nearby star systems by Alexander Zaitsev from Evpatoria show up as part of the same argument, the point being that for an interstellar beacon to be noticed, it has to transmit for a long period and be energy-efficient as well. By ‘a long time’ I mean potentially eons, because such a beacon might be set up as the final gift to the universe from a dying civilization, and it might not be found for millions of years. Enter the Benford brothers, whose work on cost-optimized beacons we discussed here in articles like A Beacon-Oriented Strategy for SETI (and you can use the search function to pull up other Centauri Dreams stories on this work).
Signature of a Cost-Optimized Beacon
If you’re building such a beacon, you’re naturally going to think in terms of efficiency, as the cost of delivering a powerful signal continuously over a vast period of time would be mind-boggling. An efficient beacon is one that would choose its coverage area carefully to optimize the chances of being heard, and one that would offer short pulses that recur over regular periods. Note what a departure such a signal would be from the kind of signal conventional SETI is optimized to find, its searches running quick sweeps past stars to find continually broadcasting beacons. A Benford beacon’s signature would be intermittent, a brief pulse that would eventually recur.
No technology available in the near-term will allow us to deliver powerful signals every minute of the day over a span of multiple epochs… But we might be able to make a beacon that works more efficiently, by targeting only those star systems where life seems most likely, and then pinging them each in turn, repeating the cycle every few months or so. Presumably, if a curious civilization caught one transmission, it would train its telescopes on that exact spot until the next part of the beacon’s message arrived. This more sensible approach—a sort of Energy Star specification for SETI—would save enough power to keep the beacon running for millions of years.
If we’re trying to receive such a signal, slow and steady scans of the galactic plane might turn it up in the form of a short narrowband burst that would eventually repeat, which would call for longer ‘dwell times’ — the time devoted to looking at a particular target — and a good deal of patience. Gregory Benford notes that a civilization building such a beacon in our system might locate it at roughly 0.5 AU, allowing for plenty of energy for the beacon’s solar cells. Such a beacon would also face the threat of space debris, given that we’re talking about an artifact that will need to survive for hundreds of millions of years — deep time — and remain functional. Advanced robotics are one way Benford sees to repair damage and keep systems running.
Monument to a Lost Civilization
Benford beacons get around the synchronicity problem that bedevils those obsessed with communication with extraterrestrial civilizations. We have no way of knowing the average lifespan of a technological culture, and it’s possible that such lifetimes are measured in mere hundreds of years or millennia. A long-term beacon keeps sending detectable signals long after the civilization that created it is gone, perhaps as a monument in the fashion of the pyramids. Wilson writes about the Star Trek episode called ‘The Inner Light,’ in which Captain Picard lives out an entire existence on an unknown planet as he experiences an alien mind-probe, only to come to the end of the message and awake to find that a mere 25 minutes have passed.
Would our own species build a Benford beacon if catastrophe loomed? It’s an interesting notion, and it gets around the concerns that some have expressed about METI (Messaging to Extraterrestrial Intelligence), in that a society that builds a ‘funeral pyre’ beacon isn’t even thinking about a response, whether dangerous or otherwise. Wilson suggests a kind of beacon insurance system — build an interstellar beacon that is programmed not to function unless it loses all contact from its creators for an extended period. If it determines the creating culture is extinct, it switches on to send out the valedictory. A civilization dies, but in the remote future, perhaps another detects and decodes its final thoughts. There’s a bleakness in the concept, and yet at the same time a certain degree of grandeur.
To explore Benford beacons at the source, see James Benford et al., “Cost Optimized Interstellar Beacons: METI,” available here, and Gregory Benford et al., “Cost Optimized Interstellar Beacons: SETI,” available here.
New Worlds Targeted by Allen Telescope Array
The on-again, off-again SETI search at the Allen Telescope Array is back in business as Jill Tarter and team focus in on some of the more interesting worlds uncovered by the Kepler space telescope and follow-up observations. You’ll recall that last April the ATA was in hibernation, having lost its funding from the University of California at Berkeley, which had operated the Hat Creek Observatory in northern California where the ATA is located. It took a public campaign to raise the funds needed for reactivation and new operations, as well as help from the US Air Force in the form of its own assessment of the ATA’s applicability in its space situational awareness studies, which include developing a catalog of orbiting space objects.
The SETI Institute, along with third-party partners and volunteers, has set up SETIstars.org as a fund-raising operation specifically targeting the ATA — it’s important to realize that getting the array back in operation is a first step in the larger process of meeting expenses for continuing work, so you’ll want to check in on SETIstars regularly to see how the campaign is going.
But back to the forthcoming ATA work on Kepler planets. The plan is to work through the Kepler discoveries, taking advantage of the fact that SETI now knows for a fact that the stars in question have planets. Thus Jill Tarter (SETI Institute):
“This is a superb opportunity for SETI observations. For the first time, we can point our telescopes at stars, and know that those stars actually host planetary systems – including at least one that begins to approximate an Earth analog in the habitable zone around its host star. That’s the type of world that might be home to a civilization capable of building radio transmitters.”
The worlds found in the habitable zone (here defined as the zone in which liquid water could exist on the surface) will receive priority, but the people behind the ATA are as aware of the dangers of preconceived notions as any of us, and if sufficient funding is found, all the planetary systems Kepler discovers will be examined across the 1 to 10 GHz terrestrial microwave window. The ATA’s ability to search across tens of millions of channels simultaneously gives it capabilities far beyond those of more common SETI work in limited frequency ranges.
Planets Around Massive Stars
Meanwhile, the Kepler Science Conference continues, with the program available online. And I don’t want to get deep into the Kepler conference without getting to the recent work at Caltech, where astronomers announced the discovery of 18 planets around stars more massive than the Sun. This work involved the Keck Observatory in Hawaii with follow-up work at McDonald and Fairborn Observatories (Texas and Arizona), focusing on ‘retired’ A-class stars more than one and one-half times as massive as the Sun. These so-called ‘retired’ stars are now in the process of becoming sub-giants. The planets were detected by radial velocity methods.
The planets here all have masses similar to Jupiter’s and represent a 50 percent increase in the number of planets known to be orbiting massive stars. What’s particularly interesting here is the wider orbits in which these planets are found. All are at least 0.7 AU from their stars, while a sample of 18 planets around stars like the Sun would turn up at least half of them in close orbits, the result of planetary migration. John Johnson (Caltech), first author of the paper on this work, says the question is whether gas giants around massive stars do not migrate in the first place, or whether they do migrate but are simply destroyed when they plunge into their stars. Also interesting is the fact that the orbits of these planets are primarily circular, while planets around Sun-like stars vary from elliptical to circular.
The authors see the new planets as further evidence supporting the core accretion model of planet formation, in which planets grow through the accumulation of small objects to ‘snowball’ into the resulting world. Stellar mass seems to be a crucial factor, which would not necessarily be the case with the gravitational instability model, in which knots of matter in the circumstellar disk collapse rapidly to form a planet.
From the paper:
[The] observed correlations between stellar properties and giant planet occurrence provide strong constraints for theories of planet formation. Any successful formation mechanism must not only describe the formation of the planets in our Solar System, but must also account for the ways in which planet occurrence varies with stellar mass and chemical composition. The link between planet occurrence and stellar properties may be related to the relationship between stars and their natal circumstellar disks. More massive, metal-rich stars likely had more massive, dust-enriched protoplanetary disks that more efficiently form embryonic solid cores that in turn sweep up gas, resulting in the gas giants detected today.
The paper is Johnson et al., “Retired A stars and their companions VII. Eighteen new Jovian planets,” accepted by the Astrophysical Journal (preprint).
Kepler-22b: A ‘Super-Earth’ in the Habitable Zone
It’s fun to see Kepler-22b — an intriguing new world that lies 600 light years from us toward Lyra and Cygnus — being referred to as the ‘Christmas planet’ in the newspapers this morning, the latter a nod to Kepler chief scientist William Borucki, who said he thought of the planet that way, as a seasonal gift to the team. Borucki’s enthusiasm is understandable, and it’s echoed by Geoff Marcy (UC-Berkeley), who called the Kepler-22b work a ‘phenomenal discovery in the course of human history.’ I can’t argue with scientists of this calibre — with a surface temperature not so different from an April afternoon where I live, Kepler-22b can lay claim to being the smallest planet we’ve found orbiting in the habitable zone of a star like our Sun.
The host star is, in fact, a G5-class object with mass and radius only slightly less than that of our Sun, which is a G2, and the planet in question orbits it with a period of 289 days, some 15 percent closer to its star than we are to ours. Liquid water could surely exist on this object, and the excitement grows from that fact as well as the fact that this is the smallest-radius planet discovered in any habitable zone thus far. At 2.4 times the size of the Earth, it falls into the ‘super-Earth’ category about which we need so much more information. So far, we can say about its mass only that it is less than 36 times that of Earth (this is based on the absence of a measurable radial velocity wobble in the host star in follow-up observations). The mass of other ‘super-Earths’ has been measured at five to ten times that of Earth.
Image: This diagram compares our own solar system to Kepler-22, a star system containing the first “habitable zone” planet discovered by NASA’s Kepler mission. The habitable zone is the sweet spot around a star where temperatures are right for water to exist in its liquid form. Liquid water is essential for life on Earth. Credit: NASA/Ames/JPL-Caltech.
A second Earth? Hardly, but habitable conditions could exist here even if, as seems likely, Kepler-22b is more of a Neptune than an Earth, perhaps one with a planet-encircling ocean. But we have so much to learn — is this actually a rocky world, or an ocean planet or a kind of cross between Neptune and the Earth, with gas, liquid and plenty of rock? Whatever the case, Kepler-22 has been a long time coming, with the first transit captured just three days after Kepler became operationally ready. The all important third transit was acquired just about a year ago.
The Kepler science conference at NASA Ames is ongoing (it runs from the 5th to the 9th), and we now have an 89 percent increase in the number of planet candidates identified by the hard-working instrument, the total reaching 2,326. A NASA news release on the latest findings says that 207 of these candidates are approximately Earth-sized, while 680 fit the ‘super-Earth’ category, 1,181 are Neptune-size, 203 are similar to Jupiter in size and 55 are larger than Jupiter. The main trend here is a dramatic increase in the number of smaller planet candidates.
The new data show 48 planet candidates in their star’s habitable zone, a decrease from the 54 reported in February that is related to a slightly changing definition of ‘habitable zone’ in the new Kepler catalog. Natalie Batalha (San Jose State University) is Kepler deputy science team lead:
“The tremendous growth in the number of Earth-size candidates tells us that we’re honing in on the planets Kepler was designed to detect: those that are not only Earth-size, but also are potentially habitable. The more data we collect, the keener our eye for finding the smallest planets out at longer orbital periods.”
All true, and exciting in every respect. Still, I can’t help thinking how we keep finding new causes for celebration, each one with a slightly smaller world, or one just a bit more in the habitable zone than the previous. In my household we have a birthday tradition that stretches what would be a one-day event into a week-long affair. On my actual birthday, I’ll get presents from the kids. But maybe one of them couldn’t be there, so that sets up a second ‘birthday’ the next day. And then a day or two later we’ll go have a birthday dinner out. You get the point: It’s fun to drag out festivities, and we can expect more of this phenomenon as Kepler continues its work. Because one of these days it’s going to tag a planet of definitely Earth-mass in the habitable zone of a G-class star, and that’s going to be the true ‘second Earth’ we’ve all been hoping to find.