Dione: The Last Close Flyby

We're in the immediate aftermath of Cassini's August 17 flyby of Saturn's moon Dione. The raw image below gives us not just Dione but a bit of Saturn's rings in the distance. As always, we'll have better images than these first, unprocessed arrivals, but let's use this new one to underscore the fact that this is Cassini's last close flyby of Dione. I'm always startled to realize that outside the space community, the public is largely unaware that Cassini's days are numbered. It's as if these images, once they began, would simply go on forever. The reality is that processes are already in place for Cassini's final act. The 'Grand Finale' will be the spacecraft's close pass by Titan (within 4000 kilometers of the cloud tops), followed by its fall into Saturn's atmosphere on September 15, 2017, a day that will surely be laden with a great deal of introspection. Bear in mind that not long after Cassini's demise, we'll also see the end of the Juno mission at Jupiter. We may still have our...

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A Science Critique of Aurora by Kim Stanley Robinson

I haven't yet read Kim Stanley Robinson's new novel Aurora (Orbit, 2015), though it's waiting on my Kindle. And a good thing, too, for this tale of a human expedition to Tau Ceti is turning out to be one of the most controversial books of the summer. The issues it explores are a touchstone for the widening debate about our future among the stars, if indeed there is to be one. Stephen Baxter does such a good job of introducing the issues and the authors of the essay below that I'll leave that to him, but I do want to note that Baxter's novel Ultima is just out (Roc, 2015) taking the interstellar tale begun in 2014's Proxima in expansive new directions. by Stephen Baxter, James Benford and Joseph Miller ‘Ever since they put us in this can, it’s been a case of get everything right or else everyone is dead . . .’ (Aurora Chapter 2) This essay is a follow-up to a review of Kim Stanley Robinson’s new novel Aurora by Gregory Benford, which critically examines the case that Robinson makes in...

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Rosetta’s Day in the Sun

Today is perihelion day for the European Space Agency's Rosetta orbiter and the doughty Philae lander that, we can hope, may still be taking data even if we can't talk to it. Celebrating the event, ESA has made available a new interactive viewer based on images taken with Rosetta's navigation camera (NAVCAM). At the end of July, almost 7000 NAVCAM images were available through the Archive Image Browser, a number that will increase as the mission continues. Now we have an interactive tool that taps all those NAVCAM images. You can have a look at the tool here. With the ability to zoom in and out, rotate the view and move across the comet, the viewer adds features like texture maps and trajectory diagrams showing where various images of the comet were taken, linking to the NAVCAM database to allow downloads of the relevant images. ESA will also be doing a Google Hangout on what it's calling Rosetta's Day in the Sun at 1300 UTC (0900 EDT). Hard to believe we've already spent a year...

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A Cosmological Fade to Black

Some writers immerse us so deeply in time that present-day issues are dwarfed by immensity. I always think of Olaf Stapledon and Star Maker (1937) in this regard, but consider Arthur C. Clarke's The City and the Stars (1956), in which we see the city Diaspar on the Earth of a billion years from now. And even Clarke's story is trumped by Greg Bear, whose City at the End of Time (2008), something of an homage not just to Clarke but to William Hope Hodgson as well, takes us to the Kalpa, a place and a civilization that is trying to ward off the breakdown of physical laws one hundred trillion years hence. With the Bear novel we enter the realm of extreme cosmology. Here spacetime itself is threatened by an entity intent on destroying it, creating a Chaos that harks back to ancient Earth myth. The human race is scattered across the cosmos, the galaxies themselves burned out husks. I also mentioned Hodgson above. The English writer (1877-1918), who would die at Ypres, produced a vast novel...

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Upcoming Interstellar Conferences

The interstellar community has seen a surprising number of conferences since the 2011 event in Orlando, which kicked off the 100 Year Starship effort and brought unusual media attention to the idea of travel between the stars. I had thought when 2015 began that further conferences were unlikely -- it seemed to be a year for consolidation and, if you will, introspection, measuring how the effort to reach the public with deep space ideas was progressing and consolidating progress on various projects like the Icarus Interstellar starship redesign. But both Icarus and the 100 Year Starship organization have surprised me with conferences announced for this fall. Icarus pulled off a successful Starship Congress in 2013, one I remember with pleasure because of my son Miles' work with Icarus and the chance to meet up with him in Dallas to hear interesting papers and share news and good meals. There will doubtless be much to say about Project Icarus itself at the new meeting. After all, the...

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Kepler-453b: A Hard to Find Transiting Circumbinary Planet

With the question of habitable planets on my mind following Andrew LePage's splendid treatment of Kepler-452b on Friday, I want to turn to the interesting news out of San Diego State, where astronomer William Welsh and colleagues have been analyzing a new transiting circumbinary planet, a find that brings us up to a total of ten such worlds. Planets like these, invariably likened to the planet Tatooine from Star Wars, have two suns in their sky. Now we have Kepler-453b to study, a world that presented researchers with a host of problems. Transits of the new world occur only nine percent of the time because of changes in the planet's orbit. Precession -- the change in orientation of the planet's orbital plane -- meant that Kepler couldn't see the planet at the beginning of its mission, but could after it swung into view about halfway through the mission's lifetime, allowing three transits. Clearly, this is a system we could easily have missed, says William Welsh (San Diego State), who...

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Is Kepler 452b a Rocky Planet or Not?

Where is the dividing line between a large, rocky planet and a 'mini-Neptune?' It's a critical issue, because life is at least possible on one, unlikely on the other. But while we're getting better at figuring out planetary habitable zones, the question of how large a planet can be and remain 'terrestrial' is still unresolved. As Andrew LePage explains below, our view of potentially habitable planets like Kepler-452b depends upon how we analyze this matter -- clearly, just being in or near the habitable zone isn't enough. A prolific essayist with over 100 articles in venues like Scientific American and Sky & Telescope, LePage writes the excellent Drew ex Machina site, where his scrutiny of recent exoplanet finds is intense. The work seems a natural fit given his day job at Visidyne, Inc. near Boston, where he specializes in the processing and analysis of remote sensing data. by Andrew LePage A couple of weeks ago, the media was filled with reports about the discovery of Kepler 452b....

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A Brown Dwarf ‘Laboratory’ for Planet Formation

Detecting planets around brown dwarfs is tricky business, but it's worth pursuing not only for its own sake but because planetary systems around brown dwarfs can tell us much about planet formation in general. A new paper from Andrzej Udalski (Warsaw University Observatory) and colleagues makes this point while noting four brown dwarf planets we've thus far found, all of them much larger than Jupiter. An extremely large planet well separated from a brown dwarf suggests a scaled-down binary star system rather than one growing out of an accretion disk. Fortunately, we can use gravitational microlensing to go after much smaller worlds around brown dwarfs, a method that is not compromised by the faintness of both planet and dwarf. In microlensing we don't 'see' the planet but can infer its presence by observing how light from a more distant star is affected as a brown dwarf system passes in front of it. Udalski and team have used microlensing to discover OGLE-2013-BLG-0723LB/Bb, which...

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Orbital Change at Ceres (and a Note on the Euphrosynes)

As we close in on perihelion at Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, the Dawn spacecraft continues its operations at Ceres. The contrast between Dawn's arrival at Ceres in March and New Horizons' flyby of Pluto/Charon could not have been more striking. With Dawn's gentle ion push, we watched Ceres gradually grow in the skies ahead, and then settle into focus as the spacecraft began orbital operations. New Horizons was a thrilling, high-velocity fling, with a sudden transition to a backlit Pluto as we settled in to wait for months of data return. Dawn is now heading for its third science orbit, gradually descending through 1900 kilometers toward an eventual 1500 kilometer altitude above the surface -- this is fully three times closer to Ceres than the previous orbit. Again, the gentle nature of ion propulsion is evident, for the spacecraft will reach the new orbit in mid-August, when data operations and imagery again flow. Bear in mind as you think about Pluto and Ceres that the latter is...

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Rosetta’s Comet Nears Perihelion

With the fanfare of the New Horizons flyby of Pluto/Charon, we learned that public interest in space can be robust, at least to judge from the number of people I spoke to who had never previously seemed aware of the subject. Here's hoping that interest continues to be piqued -- as it should be -- by the ongoing events at Ceres and on Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. With Ceres we have another exploration of a hitherto unknown surface, while the Rosetta spacecraft is watching surface activity on a comet of the kind we've never seen up close. We've already spent a year at the comet since Rosetta's arrival on August 6 of last year, examining the object's frozen ices and dust as they vaporize with increasing warmth from the Sun. The gas and dust 'atmosphere' thus created, called the coma, can produce the kind of spectacular tails we've long associated with comet observations from Earth. Perihelion occurs on August 13, when the comet reaches a distance of 186 million kilometers from the...

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A ‘Rosetta Stone’ for Super-Earths

The discovery and confirmation of the exoplanet HD 219134b give us a useful touchstone relatively close to the Solar System. At 21 light years away in the constellation Cassiopeia, HD 219134b distinguishes itself by being the closest exoplanet to Earth to be detected using the transit method. That's useful indeed, because we'll be able to use future instruments like the James Webb Space Telescope to learn about the composition of any atmosphere there. Image: This sky map shows the location of the star HD 219134 (circle), host to the nearest confirmed rocky planet found to date outside of our solar system. The star lies just off the "W" shape of the constellation Cassiopeia and can be seen with the naked eye in dark skies. It actually has multiple planets, none of which are habitable. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/DSS. Too close to its star to be considered a candidate for life, the new world is a 'super-Earth,' sighted by the HARPS-North instrument using radial velocity techniques, which...

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Envisioning Starflight Failing

Science fiction has always had its share of Earthside dystopias, but starflight's allure has persisted, despite the dark scrutiny of space travel in the works of writers like J. G. Ballard. But what happens if we develop the technologies to go to the stars and find the journey isn't worth it? Gregory Benford recently reviewed a novel that asks these questions and more, Kim Stanley Robinson's Aurora (Orbit Books, 2015). A society that reaches the Moon and then turns away from it may well prompt questions on how it would react to the first interstellar expedition. Benford, an award-winning novelist, has explored star travel in works like the six novels of the Galactic Center Saga and, most recently, in the tightly connected Bowl of Heaven and Shipstar. His review is a revised and greatly expanded version of an essay that first ran in Nature. by Gregory Benford Human starflight yawns as a vast prospect, one many think impossible. To arrive in a single lifetime demands high speeds...

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Reddish Arcs on Saturn’s Moon Tethys

Looking for a good science fictional link to Saturn's moon Tethys (you'll see why in a moment), I came up short until I recalled Harry Bates' story 'A Matter of Size.' First appearing in the April, 1934 issue of Astounding Stories, the novelette tells the breathless tale of giant humanoid beings who live on Tethys, the descendants of a long lost Earth civilization, and their micro-scale counterparts, who keep science alive and kidnap earthmen to use as breeding stock. Poor Tethys, it deserves better at the hand of science fiction authors, though I do note that Healy and McComas incorporated the story in their Adventures in Time and Space (1946), and to be fair, its manic humor includes a sinister 'marriage machine,' surely a science fiction first, and a device calculated to strike terror in the hearts of young readers in Bates' era. If you know of more respectable appearances of Tethys in science fiction, let me know. Meanwhile, the actual moon is starting to get intriguing. Just...

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New Horizons: Thoughts on Looking Back

The New Horizons imagery has been breathtaking, and never more so than in the image below. Here we're seeing Pluto seven hours after the July 14 closest approach, looking back at Pluto as it occults the Sun. The backlit atmosphere shows us layers of haze reaching 130 kilometers above the surface. Image: Pluto sends a breathtaking farewell to New Horizons. Backlit by the sun, Pluto's atmosphere rings its silhouette like a luminous halo in this image taken around midnight EDT on July 15. This global portrait of the atmosphere was captured when the spacecraft was about 2 million kilometers from Pluto and shows structures as small as 19 kilometers across. The image, delivered to Earth on July 23, is displayed with north at the top of the frame. Credit: NASA/JHUAPL/SwRI. Alan Stern, principal investigator for New Horizons, speaks of having his jaw on the ground when he saw our first image of an atmosphere in the Kuiper Belt, and for good reason. We've known that Pluto had some kind of...

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EmDrive Back in the News

Martin Tajmar's presentation at the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics' Propulsion and Energy Forum and Exposition in Orlando yesterday has been getting plenty of press. Tajmar is looking at the device now commonly called an EmDrive, studied by Sonny White's team at Eagleworks (Johnson Space Center) and advocated by Roger Shawyer, Guido Fetta and Chinese experimenters as a way of producing thrust in a way that seemingly violates conservation of momentum. Tajmar (Dresden University of Technology) offers a paper entitled "Direct Thrust Measurements of an EmDrive and Evaluation of Possible Side-Effects" in his presentation on apparent thrust produced by the test device. As he told WIRED (which announced that The 'impossible' EmDrive could reach Pluto in 18 months), the current work will not close the story. From the paper itself: The nature of the thrusts observed is still unclear… Our test campaign can not confirm or refute the claims of the EmDrive but intends...

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Searching for Extraterrestrial Life and Intelligence: Knowable and Unknowable

We recently looked at the $100 million infusion into the SETI effort by Yuri Milner, with backing by major figures in the field. When I'm considering SETI developments, I always look to Michael Michaud, whose judicious perspective in his book Contact with Alien Civilizations (Copernicus, 2007) remains a touchstone. He served in senior international science and technology positions with the U.S. State Department and two American embassies and acted as chairman of working groups at the International Academy of Astronautics that discuss SETI issues, in addition to publishing numerous articles and papers on the implications of contact. Michaud recently addressed the Astrobiology Science Conference 2015 (AbSciCon2015) in Chicago in mid-June, more than a month before the Breakthrough Initiatives announcement, and touched on many of the relevant themes. What follows is an essay drawn from that talk but expanded with new material and references. What if a very advanced technology is...

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Earth 2.0: Still Looking

I've come to dislike the term 'Earth 2.0.' It's not so much the idea of a second Earth as the use of 2.0, which in our technological era invariably recalls software updates. Windows 2.0 was better than Windows 1.0, but Windows 3.0 was the one that really took off -- the idea here is that progressive iterations improve the product. I'd rather see us use 'Earth 2' than 'Earth 2.0,' for the latter implies a new and improved Earth, and I'm not sure just what that would be. Speculating about that is, I suppose, a key activity of philosophers. But Earth 2.0 has stuck as a way of designating a planet much like our own. Here too we have to be careful. A planet with liquid water on at least parts of its surface might exist around a red dwarf, packed into a tidally-locked orbit and divided between a frigid night side and a day side with, perhaps, only a few zones where life might flourish. It's not Earth 2.0 because it has a star that never moves in its sky and its susceptibility to solar...

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New Horizons: New Mountains, Pluto’s Moons

We've already had the pleasure of naming features on Pluto, at least informally, highlighted by the moment when the heart-shaped area revealed by New Horizons was named Tombaugh Regio, after the world's discoverer. The fact that two of Clyde Tombaugh's children were in the audience during the news briefing where this occurred made it all the more powerful. Now we are turning to smaller features, as witness the mountain range near the southwest margin of Tombaugh Regio, viewed by New Horizons from a distance of 77,000 kilometers on July 20. Image: What a glorious view on what had previously been nothing more than a barely resolved dot. This is the region of Tombaugh Regio containing a range of mountains evidently less elevated than those previously seen near Pluto's equator (see First Post-Flyby Imager). Features as small as one kilometers across are visible in this image. Credit: NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI. The mountains in the equatorial region -- now known as Norgay Montes, after sherpa...

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Ernst Stuhlinger: Ion Propulsion to Mars

If you're a Centauri Dreams regular, you're familiar with Adam Crowl, an Australian polymath who is deeply involved in the ongoing Project Icarus starship design study. Adam maintains a blog called Crowlspace where interesting and innovative ideas emerge, some of them related to earlier work that has been largely forgotten in our era. A recent post that caught my eye was on Ernst Stuhlinger's 'umbrella ship,' a kind of spacecraft that, when introduced to the world on Walt Disney's 1957 TV show Mars and Beyond, surely surprised most viewers. The umbrella ship, as Adam notes, looks nothing like what readers of the famous space series in Collier's (1952-1954) had come to associate with manned travel to other worlds. Wernher von Braun was then championing massive rockets to be engaged in the exploration of Mars, an exploratory operation that would send a fleet of vessels to the Red Planet. Unlike tiny capsules of the kind we used to reach Earth orbit and explore the Moon, these would be...

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A $100 Million Infusion for SETI Research

SETI received a much needed boost this morning as Russian entrepreneur Yuri Milner, along with physicist Stephen Hawking and a panel including Frank Drake, Ann Druyan, Martin Rees and Geoff Marcy announced a $100 million pair of initiatives to reinvigorate the search. The first of these, Breakthrough Listen, dramatically upgrades existing search methods, while Breakthrough Message will fund an international competition to create the kind of messages we might one day send to other stars, although the intention is also to provoke the necessary discussion and debate to decide the question of whether such messages should be sent in the first place. With $100 million to work with, SETI suddenly finds itself newly affluent, with significant access to two of the world's largest telescopes -- the 100-meter Green Bank instrument in West Virginia and the 64-meter Parkes Telescope in New South Wales. The funding will also allow the Automated Planet Finder at Lick Observatory to search at...

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Charter

In Centauri Dreams, Paul Gilster looks at peer-reviewed research on deep space exploration, with an eye toward interstellar possibilities. For many years this site coordinated its efforts with the Tau Zero Foundation. It now serves as an independent forum for deep space news and ideas. In the logo above, the leftmost star is Alpha Centauri, a triple system closer than any other star, and a primary target for early interstellar probes. To its right is Beta Centauri (not a part of the Alpha Centauri system), with Beta, Gamma, Delta and Epsilon Crucis, stars in the Southern Cross, visible at the far right (image courtesy of Marco Lorenzi).

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