The announcement that the Dawn spacecraft is running out of its hydrazine fuel was not unexpected, but when we prepare to lose communications with a trailblazing craft, the moment is always tinged with a bit of melancholy. Even so, the accomplishments of this mission in its 11 years of data gathering are phenomenal. They also speak to the virtues of extended missions, which in this case gave us views and a wealth of information about Vesta but also a continuation of its stunning orbital operations around Ceres. And at Ceres it will stay, a silent orbiting monument to deep space exploration. "Dawn's legacy is that it explored two of the last uncharted worlds in the inner Solar System," said Marc Rayman of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena California, who serves as Dawn's mission director and chief engineer. "Dawn has shown us alien worlds that for two centuries were just pinpoints of light amidst the stars. And it has produced these richly detailed, intimate portraits and...
Extending the Habitable Zone
Not long ago, Ramses Ramirez (Earth-Life Science Institute, Tokyo) described his latest work on habitable zones to Centauri Dreams readers. Our own Alex Tolley (University of California) now focuses on Dr. Ramirez' quest for 'a more comprehensive habitable zone,' examining classical notions of worlds that could support life, how they have changed over time, and how we can broaden current models. We can see ways, for example, to extend the range of habitable zones at both their outer and inner edges. A look at our assumptions and the dangers implicit in the term 'Earth-like' should give us caution as we interpret the new exoplanet detections coming soon through space- and ground-based instruments. by Alex Tolley The Plains of Tartarus - Bruce Pennington In 1993, before we had detected any exoplanets, James Kasting, Daniel Whitmire, and Ray Reynolds published a modeled estimate of the habitable zone in our solar system [1]. They stated: "A one-dimensional climate model is used to...
New Horizons: Checking in on Approach Operations
Here's another, wider look at New Horizons' view of Ultima Thule (MU69), its next target, which we first saw in late August, though the image was acquired at mid-month. I like this view because it gets across just what a tricky acquisition this was. Look at the background star-field! Consider that Ultima is still 100 times fainter than Pluto as seen from Earth, making it about a million times fainter than a naked eye object. LORRI, the spacecraft's Long Range Reconnaissance Imager, once again demonstrates its key role in the mission. Image: New Horizons spotted Ultima Thule for the first time on August 16, near the center of the red circle in this LORRI image of the dense Milky Way star field where Ultima lies. Credit: JHU/APL. Getting the image as early as it did was something of a coup for New Horizons, this being the first attempt, made just after the spacecraft transitioned from spin-stabilized mode (during cruise) to pre-flyby mode, which allows its cameras and other instruments...
Transiting Debris around a White Dwarf
Who among us hasn't speculated about the ultimate fate of the Solar System? The thought of our Sun growing into a vast red giant has preoccupied writers and readers since the days when H. G. Wells so memorably captured a far future scene through the eyes of his Time Traveler. And what a scene that was: "I cannot convey the sense of abominable desolation that hung over the world. The red eastern sky, the northward blackness, the salt dead sea, the stony beach crawling with these foul, slow-stirring monsters, the uniform poisonous-looking green of the lichenous plants, the thin air that hurts one's lungs: all contributed to an appalling effect. I moved on a hundred years, and there was the same red sun—a little larger, a little duller—the same dying sea, the same chill air, and the same crowd of earthy crustacea creeping in and out among the green weed and the red rocks. And in the westward sky, I saw a curved pale line like a vast new moon." Wells was working on a...
‘Rogue’ Planet Population in the Galaxy
We've recently looked at gas giant planet formation, and specifically the stages in which Jupiter seems to have formed -- this is the work of Thomas Kruijer (University of Münster) and colleagues as summarized in A Three Part Model for Jupiter's Formation. Whether or not the details of Kruijer and team's model are correct, it seems evident that gas giants must form quickly, based on current theories. These involve the formation of a large solid core, with gas accretion building up a thick atmosphere at a time when the disk around the parent star is still rich in materials. In this thinking, planets like the Earth come along much later than the gas giants that are the first to form. Get a few million years into the evolution of a stellar system and there should be evidence of a gas giant, if one is going to form, but terrestrial worlds can take up to 100 million years to emerge. This has captured the interest of Nader Haghighipour (University of Hawaii), whose work was presented at...
Finding Jupiter’s Water
One of the memorable things about 1995 (and this was also the year of the first detection of an exoplanet around a main sequence star) was the release of the Galileo spacecraft's descent probe. Dive into that howling maelstrom, it would seem, and instant obliteration should follow. But the probe had been designed with a heavy duty heat shield to protect it during its journey. It kept transmitting after scorching its way into Jupiter's atmosphere at 47 kilometers per second, 30 km/sec faster than Voyager 1. The probe returned data for fully 58 minutes before its demise. Here's how two science fiction novelists handle a descent into the Jovian clouds: Slowly, the fine fretwork of the ammonia cirrus clouds above him became obscured by brown and salmon layers of intervening chemistry, the air stained a nicotine-coloured haze of complex carbon molecules. Soon it was warmer than a summer's day out there, and already the gondola was enduring more than ten atmospheres of pressure, the...
An Asteroid’s Tumultuous Evolution
How extraordinary that we can sometimes tell so much from so little. Extraordinary too how careful we must be to make sure we're not reading too much into small sample sizes. All of which brings me to the Japanese Hayabusa probe, a spacecraft that survived continual mischance on its journey to asteroid 25143 Itokawa, but was somehow able to return tiny grains of surface material to Earth. And using those materials, scientists are now revealing a violent past that tells us something not only about how the asteroid formed but what happened to it long after. The work of Kentaro Terada (Osaka University) and colleagues, the investigation follows a complicated path back to the earliest era of our system. But let’s start with the sample collection, which almost didn’t happen: Already damaged from a major solar flare not long after liftoff on May 9, 2003, Hayabusa (the word means ‘falcon’ in Japanese) would also lose two of its three stabilizing reaction wheels. And when the command to...
A Glimpse of Ultima Thule
This morning we have an image of MU69, the Kuiper Belt object to which New Horizons is heading, with arrival and flyby scheduled for January 1, 2019. This just after the first glimpse of the asteroid Bennu by the spacecraft now heading there for observation and sample return, OSIRIS-REx. By way of comparison, the first glimpse New Horizons had of Pluto/Charon came during an optical navigation test using the Long Range Reconnaissance Imager (LORRI), which occurred in September of 2006 when Pluto was still 4.2 billion kilometers away. We knew in the year of its launch, in other words, that New Horizons could find and track targets at extremely long range, but MU69, otherwise known as Ultima Thule, is a tiny target indeed. Moreover, it's one that raises a host of obstacles particularly in terms of the background stars. We are trying to pluck it out of field objects from a distance of 172 million kilometers. "The image field is extremely rich with background stars, which makes it...
A Three Part Model for Jupiter’s Formation
Meteorites have proven a useful tool for probing the nature of the early Solar System. Although I missed it at the time, Thomas Kruijer (University of Münster) and colleagues announced results last year from their study of the age of Jupiter based on measuring isotopes in meteorites. The age of Jupiter is an open question, but because current formation models have gas giants forming large solid cores and then rapidly accreting gas, the assumption is that the circumstellar disk could not have been depleted of its gas by the time Jupiter's formation was complete. A gas giant must form, in other words, fairly rapidly, and the Kruijer paper offered a deeper look into the conditions of the surrounding disk during the process. The researchers were able to identify "...two genetically distinct nebular reservoirs that coexisted and remained spatially separated between ~1 My and ~3-4 My after Solar System formation." Even that early in the formation of the Solar System, two bands of...
OSIRIS-REx: Looking Forward & Looking Back
The OSIRIS-REx spacecraft carries three cameras as it makes its way to the asteroid called Bennu, a suite that is collectively known as the OSIRIS-REx Camera Suite (OCAMS). So now we're into the realm of OSIRIS-REx acronyms, and these should become familiar in coming months just as New Horizons' instruments like LORRI (Long Range Reconnaissance Imager) and PEPSSI (Pluto Energetic Particle Spectrometer Science Investigation) did enroute to Pluto. The camera called PolyCam is responsible for the image below, an animation showing the target acquired on August 17, at a distance of 2.25 million kilometers. PolyCam will serve as a reconnaissance camera as the spacecraft nears Bennu, but its other role is that illustrated here, as a long-range acquisition camera whose first visual of the target has been in the works for nine weeks. That's the length of the planning process, testing, reviews and code upload. "Right now, Bennu just looks like a star, a point source," said Carl Hergenrother,...
GW170817: An Extragalactic SETI Opportunity?
While we pursue SETI by listening to and looking at nearby stars within our own galaxy, the possibility of going extragalactic remains. Consider the activity at Penn State, where Jason Wright and colleagues Matthew Povich and Steinn Sigurðsson have been conducting the Glimpsing Heat from Alien Technologies (G-HAT) project, looking at infrared data from both the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer mission (WISE) and the Spitzer Space Telescope. An unusual infrared signature could conceivably be a sign of waste heat from such a culture. Turning up the signature of a Kardashev Type III civilization, one capable of tapping the energy output of an entire galaxy, would be a spectacular find, a search well worth continuing. But there are other ways of looking for evidence that might fit what Wright has written about in terms of 'Schelling points.' The idea is to draw on game theory to analyze a situation in which two players who cannot communicate are engaged in a cooperative activity. They...
The Gift of Fire
Humans are associative creatures, and it always amazes me how a single image or a particular scent can call up a memory on some completely different topic. Some associations are general: Most people associate Strauss' magnificent Thus Sprach Zarathustra with Kubrick's 2001: A Space Odyssey because of that movie's spectacular opening sequence. For me, those powerful sounds likewise recall Apollo. Never forget that in April of 1968, we were getting ready for the first manned Apollo test, followed in almost bewilderingly short order by the grandest voyage then imaginable, the Apollo 8 circumnavigation of the Moon. I always tie 2001 with Apollo and hear the Strauss in my mind whenever I think about Lovell, Borman and Anders reading so powerfully from Genesis that Christmas Eve. Reading Jeffrey Kluger's brilliant Apollo 8 (Henry Holt, 2017) triggered the whole melange of memories and emotions. I'm sure people of a previous generation had their own deep associations when they heard about...
A ‘Flyby’ Model for Early Solar System Evolution
How close would a passing star have to come to produce drastic results on the outer Solar System? According to researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Radio Astronomy in Bonn, roughly 3 times Neptune's distance would be disruptive enough to explain what we see beyond that planet's orbit today. Led by Susanne Pfalzner, the scientists have been modeling close stellar flybys of other planetary systems for years, but have only recently turned their attention to the eccentricities of our own system, where conditions beyond Neptune pose questions. Image: Artist's concept of a stellar system in the making with a protoplanetary disk surrounding a young star. Credit: NASA JPL-Caltech. A look at the Solar System's formation highlights the problematic nature of the process. Out to the orbit of Neptune, planets, dwarf planets and asteroids orbit with only small differences in orbital inclination, indicative of the flatness of the original disk from which all these objects drew their birth...
New Insights into Beta Pictoris b
Beta Pictoris b continues to instruct us in the ways of exoplanet finding. Consider: The young world was identified in 2008 through direct imaging via the Very Large Telescope at the European Southern Observatory site at Cerro Paranal (Chile). Actually seeing an exoplanet is no small feat. We are in this case talking about a bright A-class star some 63 light years away in the wash of whose light we can pick out a comparatively small planet. But it was also a young planet, putting out plenty of heat amidst the large debris disk, the first such disk ever imaged. The earliest detections of planets around main sequence stars have involved radial velocity, using Doppler methods that can tell us the rate at which the star moves toward and then away from the Earth as it is affected by the planet orbiting it. But radial velocity is a tough call at Beta Pictoris because these changes are tiny, and we are dealing with a star those fast rotation and stellar pulsations obscure the needed signal....
The Prevalence of ‘Water Worlds’
The first time I ran into the term 'water world,' it had a seductive quality. After all, we think of habitable zones in terms of water on the surface, and a world with an overabundance of water suggested a kind of celestial Polynesia, archipelagos surrounded by a planet-circling, azure sea. But we immediately run into problems when we think about planets with substantially more water than Earth. For one thing, we may have no land at all. Let's leave aside the icy moons of our Solar System that may well contain oceans beneath their surface and concentrate on exoplanets in the interesting size range of two to four times the size of Earth. We have to ask what would happen if a planet were completely covered with water, with no run-off of nutrients from exposed rock. Such an ocean could be starved of key elements like phosphorus. Or how about a planet with a high-pressure zone of ice effectively cutting off the global ocean from the rocky mantle? A world with enough water -- 50 times...
The Breakthrough Starshot Opportunity
When we think about what is usually called 'planetary protection,' we're talking about the probes we send to possibly life-bearing places like Mars or Europa. It would confound our investigations if we couldn't be sure we hadn't contaminated such a place with microorganisms from Earth, unwittingly carried aboard a lander that was not properly stripped of such passengers. Even our Cassini Saturn orbiter was guided into the planet as a way of ensuring that it would not, at some future date, crash into a place as biologically interesting as Enceladus. Yesterday, having looked at an essay by Ethan Siegel, I asked rhetorically whether we should think up some kind of exoplanetary protection policy as well. After all, we're fleshing out an actual mission design through Breakthrough Starshot, aiming to reach nearby stars in coming decades. Siegel (Lewis & Clark College) had expressed his concern that Breakthrough Starshot might inadvertently start an interstellar war. The idea is extreme,...
On the Enigma of Arrival
The death of V.S. Naipaul (1932-2018), that cross-grained and all too combative man who saw so unflinchingly into the post-colonial lands from which he drew his heritage, invariably brings to mind his strangest novel, The Enigma of Arrival (Vintage Books, 1987). Temporarily settled into a cottage in Wiltshire in rural England, the author looks back on his career in search of a renewal as cyclic as the seasons. Landscape inspires creativity in this deeply visualized microcosm, even as Naipaul broods over the painting that gives the book its title. The novel is an odd, self-indulgent work, one I completed more out of a sense of duty (I was reviewing it for a newspaper) than enthusiasm. Yet its introspective imagery keeps resonating. Naipaul was obsessed with the sub-story of the painting, showing the arrival of a visitor at a strange port city and implying a subsequent journey that would in some way parallel his own career. The work of Giorgio de Chirico (1888-1978), ‘The Enigma of...
Omega Centauri: Improbable Venue for Life?
Although it appears in the same constellation as seen from Earth (Centaurus), Omega Centauri has nothing to do with the Alpha Centauri stars that so interest interstellar flight theorists. The brightest globular cluster visible in our skies, Omega Centauri is anything but close (16,000 light years out) and, containing several million stars, is the largest globular cluster in our galaxy. We may in fact be looking at the core of a dwarf galaxy once absorbed by the Milky Way. But although it's quite distant, Omega Centauri may be the source of the relatively nearby Kapteyn's Star, just 13 light years from the Sun. Where this gets intriguing is that Kapteyn's Star, (named after Dutch astronomer Jacobus Kapteyn) is known to have at least two planets, one of them considered the oldest known potentially habitable planet -- let's call it a 'temperate Super-Earth', as Guillem Anglada-Escudé and team have done -- at 11 billion years old. Steven Kane (UC-Riverside), working with graduate...
Probing Ultrahot Jupiters
Speaking of getting really, really close to a star, as we were yesterday in our discussion of the Parker Solar Probe, I couldn’t help but turn to new computer models of the ‘ultrahot Jupiter’ WASP-121b. I still find it delightful that the earliest exoplanet detections involved a category of planet that few scientists had imagined existed. These days we routinely discuss gas giants blisteringly close to their hosts, and even manage to extract information about their atmospheres through transmission spectroscopy, but few people expected such planets when we began to discover them. In fact, Apollo 11’s Buzz Aldrin had a role to play in what may be considered to be the first prediction of the worlds we would start calling ‘hot Jupiters.’ Working with John Barnes on his novel Encounter with Tiber (Grand Central, 1996), Aldrin asked physicist Greg Matloff whether a hydrogen-helium atmosphere as found in a Jupiter-class world could survive in an inner stellar system. Here’s how Matloff...
Musings on the Parker Solar Probe
The first thing I did when I heard about the Parker Solar Probe's successful launch (0731 UTC Sunday) was to double-check the spacecraft's projected velocity when it makes its closest approach to the Sun. I always think in terms of high speed when contemplating operations close to our star, the legacy of the two Helios missions, which at present hold the record as fastest man-made objects. Placed in highly elliptical orbits after their launches in 1974 and 1976, the Helios spacecraft managed a sizzling 70 kilometers per second. The Helios missions were a joint venture between what was then West Germany's space agency and NASA, the craft themselves built by German aerospace firm Messerschmitt-Bölkow-Blohm. Helios 2 flew closer to the Sun by about 3 million kilometers, closing to 0.29 AU (43 million kilometers), which took it inside the orbit of Mercury. The Parker Solar Probe ups the ante considerably, with an eventual closest approach of just 6.1 million kilometers. The spacecraft at...